電気商用車市場：推進力別（BEV、FCEV）、車両タイプ別（ピックアップ、中型・大型トラック、バン）、航続距離別、バッテリータイプ別、出力別、バッテリー容量別、コンポーネント別、エンドユーザー別、車体構造別、地域別 - 2030年までの世界予測

Electric Commercial Vehicle Market by Propulsion (BEVs & FCEVs), Vehicle Type (Pickups, Medium and Heavy-Duty Trucks & Vans), Range, Battery Type, Power Output, Battery Capacity, Component, End User, Body Construction and Region - Global Forecast to 2030

世界の電気商用車市場規模は、2023年の519.4千台から2030年には215.5千台へと、年平均成長率22.5％で拡大すると予測されている。政府は、電気自動車を使用するためのインセンティブやスキームを通じて電気自動車... もっと見る

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世界の電気商用車市場規模は、2023年の519.4千台から2030年には215.5千台へと、年平均成長率22.5％で拡大すると予測されている。政府は、電気自動車を使用するためのインセンティブやスキームを通じて電気自動車を支援し、トップ自動車メーカーと協力することで、電気自動車の普及を促進する。電気商用車はICE商用車よりも低コストで運用されている。EVバッテリーとEV充電システムの研究の高まりが電気商用車市場を牽引する。電気商用車の需要を拡大するためには、電気自動車充電ステーション、バッテリー交換ステーション、フリートステーションを世界的に設置する必要がある。
「予測期間中、150マイル未満が最大市場になる見込み。
低性能で手頃な価格の電気商用車の航続距離は通常150マイル未満である。いくつかのOEMは、航続距離が100～150マイルに制限された低コストのバッテリーを搭載した電気バンを提供している。OEM各社は長年にわたり、このセグメント向けにトラックやバンを提供してきた。例えば、2023年には、ダイムラーのブランドであるリゾンが、航続距離110～160マイルの中型電気トラックe18L、e16L、e16Mを発売した。さらに、ボリンジャー・モーターズは2022年9月、全輪駆動アルミボディの中型全電気トラックBollinger B4を発売した。航続距離は100～200マイルである。自治体では、廃棄物収集、道路清掃、保守作業など、さまざまな業務に航続距離の短い電気バンやトラックを使用している。電気自動車は排ガスを出さず、ガス車やディーゼル車よりもはるかに静かなため、こうした業務に最適な選択肢である。2021年、イリザール・グループは、ごみ収集業務に使用される電気トラック10台を受注した。
「バッテリータイプ別では、NMCが予測期間中最大のセグメントとなる。
ニッケルマンガン-コバルト酸化物電池（NMC）は、異なる特性、高密度、効率を持つ複数の材料で構成されている。これらの電池は、作動中の自己発熱率が低いため、電気商用車での使用に最適である。NMC電池の化学組成は、正極がリチウム・ニッケル・マンガン・コバルト酸化物、負極がグラファイトである。NMC電池はコバルトを含むため、非常に高価で有毒である。OEMは現在、正極に高含量のニッケルを採用する方向にシフトし始めている。コバルトに比べ、ニッケル電池は低コストでライフサイクルが長い。NMCバッテリーは、航続距離が長く、ヨーロッパや北米の寒冷な気候条件下での使用に適している。コバルトとニッケルセルが低コストでライフサイクルが長く、安定性が高く、エネルギー密度が高いため、NMC電池が一般的に使用されている。NMCバッテリーは、欧州や北米の長距離走行や寒冷地での使用に適しています。NMC電池は、同じ寸法、同じ重量で高密度のパックを提供するため、その需要は今後数年で大幅に伸びると予想される。2021年、BHPはテスラ社とのニッケル供給契約の締結を発表した。供給契約に加え、BHPとテスラ社はバッテリーサプライチェーンをより持続可能なものにする方法について協力する。2022年1月には、GODI（インド）が商用グレードのNMC電池の第1バッチの製造を発表した。これらの要因は、電気商用車におけるNMC電池の成長を促進すると予想される。
アジア太平洋地域は電気商用車市場で高い成長の可能性を示す
アジア太平洋地域には、Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.（インド）、BYD（中国）、Mahindra & Mahindra Inc.(インド）、BYD（中国）、金龍（中国）、トヨタ自動車（日本）、日産自動車（日本）などである。アジア太平洋市場は、電気商用車の販売台数が多い中国が支配的である。日本もまた、アジア太平洋地域の自動車技術において重要な役割を果たしている。技術の進歩に伴い、日本の電気商用車市場は成長すると予想される。2022年7月、トヨタ自動車はアライド・モーターズと協力して燃料電池電気バンを開発すると発表した。より迅速な配送を求める顧客の需要の高まりが、アジア太平洋地域のラスト・マイル・デリバリー市場の成長を促す主な要因となっている。これらの国の政府は、EV充電ステーションの設置を奨励し、排出ガス規制を策定し、ICE車からフルEVまたはハイブリッドEVへの移行期限を設定している。インドもまた、市場における電気バンや電気トラックの増加に取り組んでいる。低排出ガスゾーンに変更するために古い車両を廃車にできる新しい車両スクラップ政策や、その他の今後の政策は、インドが今後数年間で電気商用車にとって有利な市場になるのを助けるだろう。

「ラスト・マイル・デリバリーは予測期間中に市場最大となる見込み。
電子商取引の台頭により、ラストマイル・デリバリー・サービスの需要が大幅に増加し、商用車セクターの様々な発展につながっている。企業は経費削減と車両排出量削減のため、電気バン、電気トラック、ピックアップトラックなどの電気商用車を保有車両に加えつつある。2022年5月、Terrago社（インド）はインド国内の配送目的で65台のマヒンドラTreo Zor貨物車を使用した。電気商用車市場は、世界中の政府による投資の増加により成長するだろう。
この市場で事業を展開する様々な主要組織のCEO、マーケティング責任者、その他のイノベーション・技術責任者、経営幹部に対して詳細なインタビューを実施した。
- 企業タイプ別OEM：50％、ティア1：33％、ティア2：17
- 役職別CXO-45%、取締役-35%、その他*-20
- 地域別北米：22%、欧州：42%、アジア太平洋地域：36
電気商用車市場は、BYD（中国）、Mercedes Benz Group AG（ドイツ）、AB Volvo（スウェーデン）、Tesla, Inc（米国）、PACCAR Inc（米国）などの既存プレーヤーによって支配されている。市場ランキングは、上記の各社のECV売上高とセグメント別売上高の一定割合を考慮して算出した。これらの企業はまた、自動車業界向けに広範な製品とソリューションを提供している。これらの企業は世界レベルで強力な販売網を持ち、新製品開発のために研究開発に多額の投資を行っている。
調査対象範囲
電気商用車市場：推進力別（BEV、FCEV）、車両タイプ別（ピックアップトラック、トラック、バン）、航続距離別、バッテリータイプ別、出力別、バッテリー容量別、コンポーネント別、エンドユーザー別、車体構造別、地域別。また、電気商用車市場のエコシステムにおける競合状況や主要企業のプロファイルもカバーしています。この調査には、市場における主要企業の詳細な競合分析も含まれており、企業プロフィール、製品や事業の提供、最近の動向、主要な市場戦略に関する主な見解も掲載しています。

レポートを購入する理由
- 本レポートは、電気商用車市場全体とそのサブセグメントにおける収益数の最も近い近似値に関する情報を提供することで、同市場の市場リーダー/新規参入者に役立ちます。
- 本レポートは、利害関係者が競争状況を理解し、より良いビジネスの位置付けと適切な市場参入戦略を計画するためのより多くの洞察を得るのに役立ちます。
- また、当レポートは、関係者が市場の鼓動を理解し、主要な市場促進要因、阻害要因、課題、機会に関する情報を提供するのに役立ちます。

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1 INTRODUCTION 27
1.1 STUDY OBJECTIVES 27
1.2 MARKET DEFINITION 28
1.2.1 BY PROPULSION 28
1.2.2 BY END USE 28
1.2.3 BY BATTERY TYPE 29
1.2.4 BY VEHICLE TYPE 29
1.2.5 BY COMPONENT 30
1.3 STUDY SCOPE 31
FIGURE 1 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET SEGMENTATION 31
FIGURE 2 YEARS CONSIDERED 32
1.4 INCLUSIONS AND EXCLUSIONS 32
TABLE 1 INCLUSIONS AND EXCLUSIONS 32
1.5 CURRENCY 33
TABLE 2 CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES (PER USD) 33
1.6 STAKEHOLDERS 33
1.7 SUMMARY OF CHANGES 34
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 35
2.1 RESEARCH DATA 35
FIGURE 3 RESEARCH DESIGN 35
2.1.1 SECONDARY DATA 36
2.1.1.1 Key data from secondary sources 36
2.1.1.2 Key secondary sources 37
2.1.2 PRIMARY DATA 37
2.1.2.1 Key data from primary sources 38
2.1.2.2 Participating companies for primary research 38
2.2 MARKET SIZE ESTIMATION 39
2.2.1 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH 39
FIGURE 4 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH 39
2.2.2 TOP-DOWN APPROACH 40
FIGURE 5 TOP-DOWN APPROACH 40
2.3 DATA TRIANGULATION 41
FIGURE 6 DATA TRIANGULATION 41
2.4 FACTOR ANALYSIS 42
2.5 RESEARCH ASSUMPTIONS 42
2.6 RESEARCH LIMITATIONS 43
2.7 RECESSION IMPACT ANALYSIS 43
3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 44
FIGURE 7 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET OVERVIEW 45
FIGURE 8 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023 VS. 2030 (UNITS) 46
FIGURE 9 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY PROPULSION, 2023 VS. 2030 (UNITS) 46
4 PREMIUM INSIGHTS 47
4.1 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES FOR PLAYERS IN ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET 47
FIGURE 10 INCREASED OWNERSHIP OF FUEL-EFFICIENT VEHICLES TO DRIVE DEMAND FOR ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 47
4.2 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BODY CONSTRUCTION 47
FIGURE 11 FULL-SIZE TO SECURE LEADING MARKET POSITION BETWEEN 2023 AND 2030 47
4.3 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE 48
FIGURE 12 VANS TO SURPASS OTHER SEGMENTS DURING FORECAST PERIOD 48
4.4 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY PROPULSION 48
FIGURE 13 BEVS TO RECORD HIGHEST CAGR BY 2030 48
4.5 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY TYPE 49
FIGURE 14 NMC BATTERIES TO ACQUIRE MAXIMUM SHARES FROM 2023 TO 2030 49
4.6 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY CAPACITY 49
FIGURE 15 60–120 KWH TO BE LARGEST SEGMENT BY 2030 49
4.7 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY POWER OUTPUT 50
FIGURE 16 LESS THAN 100 KW TO EXCEED OTHER SEGMENTS DURING FORECAST PERIOD 50
4.8 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY RANGE 50
FIGURE 17 LESS THAN 150 MILES TO HOLD MAJORITY SHARES BETWEEN 2023 AND 2030 50
4.9 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY END USE 51
FIGURE 18 LAST-MILE DELIVERY TO BE LARGEST END-USE APPLICATION DURING FORECAST PERIOD 51
4.10 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION 51
FIGURE 19 ASIA PACIFIC TO ACCOUNT FOR LARGEST MARKET SHARE IN 2023 51
5 MARKET OVERVIEW 52
5.1 INTRODUCTION 52
FIGURE 20 ROLE OF START-UPS IN ELECTRIC VEHICLE ECOSYSTEM 53
5.2 MARKET DYNAMICS 53
FIGURE 21 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET DYNAMICS 54
5.2.1 DRIVERS 54
5.2.1.1 Reduced cost of EV batteries 54
FIGURE 22 EV BATTERY PRICING 55
5.2.1.2 Hike in price of fossil fuels 56
FIGURE 23 AVERAGE GLOBAL PETROL PRICES 56
FIGURE 24 OPERATING COST OF ELECTRIC VS. ICE VEHICLES, 2022 57
5.2.1.3 Increased preference for emission-free commercial vehicles in logistics industry 57
FIGURE 25 GLOBAL FUEL ECONOMY AND CO2 EMISSIONS 58
TABLE 3 PURCHASE ORDER/SUPPLY CONTRACT FOR ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 58
5.2.1.4 Government support for electric commercial vehicles 58
TABLE 4 GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS FOR ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE SALES 59
FIGURE 26 GLOBAL REGULATORY COMPARISON FOR ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND CHARGERS 60
FIGURE 27 GLOBAL ELECTRIFICATION TARGETS 60
5.2.2 RESTRAINTS 61
5.2.2.1 High initial investment in electric commercial vehicle production 61
5.2.2.2 Concerns associated with battery safety 61
FIGURE 28 BATTERY SAFETY ARCHITECTURE 61
5.2.2.3 Lack of robust charging infrastructure 62
TABLE 5 EV CHARGER DENSITY, 2022 62
FIGURE 29 PRIVATE, SEMI-PUBLIC, AND PUBLIC CHARGING OWNERSHIP 62
5.2.2.4 Low vehicle range 63
TABLE 6 NEW ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MODELS, BY RANGE, 2022 63
5.2.3 OPPORTUNITIES 63
5.2.3.1 New revenue pockets in North America and Northern Europe 63
TABLE 7 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MODELS, BY COUNTRY 63
5.2.3.2 Development of wireless EV charging technology for on-the-go charging 64
FIGURE 30 FUNCTIONING OF WIRELESS EV CHARGING 64
5.2.3.3 Use of electric vehicles for fleets and commercial applications 65
TABLE 8 OEM ELECTRIC VEHICLE FLEET TARGETS, 2025–2030 65
5.2.4 CHALLENGES 66
5.2.4.1 Limited battery capacity 66
FIGURE 31 TIME REQUIRED FOR DIFFERENT CHARGING TYPES 66
5.2.4.2 Low availability of lithium for EV batteries 67
FIGURE 32 GROWING DEMAND FOR LITHIUM-ION BATTERIES 67
5.2.4.3 Insufficient grid infrastructure globally 67
FIGURE 33 GRID REQUIREMENT FOR ELECTRIC VEHICLES IN GERMANY 68
5.2.5 IMPACT OF MARKET DYNAMICS 68
TABLE 9 IMPACT OF MARKET DYNAMICS 68
5.3 PRICING ANALYSIS 69
5.3.1 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE TREND, BY VEHICLE TYPE 69
TABLE 10 ELECTRIC VANS: AVERAGE PRICE (USD), 2022 69
TABLE 11 ELECTRIC PICKUP TRUCKS: AVERAGE PRICE (USD), 2022 69
TABLE 12 ELECTRIC TRUCKS: AVERAGE PRICE (USD), 2022 70
5.3.2 GLOBAL PRICING ANALYSIS, BY VEHICLE TYPE 70
FIGURE 34 GLOBAL PRICING ANALYSIS, BY VEHICLE TYPE 70
TABLE 13 ELECTRIC TRUCKS: AVERAGE PRICE COMPARISON, BY CLASS 71
5.4 POTENTIAL ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE LAUNCHES BY OEMS 71
TABLE 14 UPCOMING ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 71
5.5 BILL OF MATERIALS 72
FIGURE 35 BILL OF MATERIALS FOR ELECTRIC LIGHT COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 72
FIGURE 36 BILL OF MATERIALS, BATTERY VS. NON-BATTERY COMPONENTS 73
5.6 OEM SOURCING STRATEGIES 74
5.6.1 SOURCING STRATEGIES BY ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE OEMS 74
FIGURE 37 OEM SOURCING STRATEGIES 74
5.6.2 OEM MOTOR RATING ANALYSIS, BY RANGE 74
FIGURE 38 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY RANGE 75
5.6.3 COMPETITIVE MARKET ASSESSMENT, BY PAYLOAD CAPACITY 76
FIGURE 39 MARKET COMPETITIVE ASSESSMENT, BY PAYLOAD CAPACITY 76
FIGURE 40 CARGO DELIVERY VS. PAYLOAD CAPACITY 76
5.7 SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS 77
FIGURE 41 SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS 77
5.8 ECOSYSTEM MAPPING 77
FIGURE 42 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET ECOSYSTEM 78
FIGURE 43 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET ECOSYSTEM MAP 78
5.8.1 EV CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE PROVIDERS 79
5.8.2 TIER II SUPPLIERS 79
5.8.3 TIER I SUPPLIERS 79
5.8.4 RAW MATERIAL SUPPLIERS 79
5.8.5 OEMS 79
TABLE 15 ROLE OF COMPANIES IN ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET ECOSYSTEM 80
5.9 TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP 82
TABLE 16 TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP 82
FIGURE 44 TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP—FORD ELECTRIC TRANSIT VS. ICE TRANSIT 3.5 TONS MODEL 83
5.10 INSIGHTS ON ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE RANGE 83
5.10.1 RANGE/BATTERY CAPACITY 83
TABLE 17 RANGE VS. BATTERY CAPACITY 83
5.10.2 RANGE/END USE 84
TABLE 18 RANGE VS. END USE 84
5.10.3 BATTERY CAPACITY/END USE 84
TABLE 19 BATTERY CAPACITY VS. END USE 84
5.10.4 POWER/CHARGING DURATION 85
TABLE 20 POWER VS. CHARGING DURATION 85

5.11 CASE STUDY ANALYSIS 85
5.11.1 USER EXPERIENCE OF BATTERY-ELECTRIC TRUCKS IN NORWAY 85
5.11.2 ELECTRIC VEHICLE FLEETS FOR PUBLIC SECTOR IN VERMONT 86
5.12 PATENT ANALYSIS 87
TABLE 21 PATENT REGISTRATIONS RELATED TO ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, 2021–2023 87
TABLE 22 PATENTED DOCUMENTS ANALYSIS, BY PUBLISHED, FILED, AND GRANTED, 2017–2023 89
5.13 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS 89
5.13.1 OFFBOARD TOP-DOWN PANTOGRAPH CHARGING SYSTEMS 89
5.13.2 ONBOARD BOTTOM-UP PANTOGRAPH CHARGING SYSTEMS 90
5.13.3 GROUND-BASED STATIC/DYNAMIC WIRELESS CHARGING SYSTEMS 90
5.13.4 PACKAGED FUEL CELL SYSTEM MODULES 90
FIGURE 45 TOYOTA’S PACKAGED FUEL CELL SYSTEM MODULE 91
5.13.5 METHANE FUEL CELLS 91
5.13.6 SMART CHARGING SYSTEMS 91
FIGURE 46 SMART EV CHARGING SYSTEM 92
5.13.7 IOT IN ELECTRIC VEHICLES 92
5.13.8 SOLID-STATE BATTERIES 92
5.13.9 RANGE EXTENDERS IN ELECTRIC TRUCKS 93
5.14 TRADE ANALYSIS 93
TABLE 23 CHINA: IMPORT OF ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 93
TABLE 24 JAPAN: IMPORT OF ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 94
TABLE 25 GERMANY: IMPORT OF ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 94
TABLE 26 US: IMPORT OF ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 94
TABLE 27 CANADA: IMPORT OF ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 95
5.15 REGULATORY OVERVIEW 95
5.15.1 COUNTRY-WISE REGULATIONS 95
5.15.1.1 Netherlands 95
TABLE 28 NETHERLANDS: ELECTRIC VEHICLE INCENTIVES 96
TABLE 29 NETHERLANDS: EV CHARGING STATION INCENTIVES 96
5.15.1.2 Germany 96
TABLE 30 GERMANY: ELECTRIC VEHICLE INCENTIVES 96
TABLE 31 GERMANY: EV CHARGING STATION INCENTIVES 97
5.15.1.3 France 97
TABLE 32 FRANCE: ELECTRIC VEHICLE INCENTIVES 97
TABLE 33 FRANCE: EV CHARGING STATION INCENTIVES 97
5.15.1.4 UK 98
TABLE 34 UK: ELECTRIC VEHICLE INCENTIVES 98
TABLE 35 UK: EV CHARGING STATION INCENTIVES 98
5.15.1.5 China 99
TABLE 36 CHINA: ELECTRIC VEHICLE INCENTIVES 99
TABLE 37 CHINA: EV CHARGING STATION INCENTIVES 99
5.15.1.6 US 99
TABLE 38 US: ELECTRIC VEHICLE INCENTIVES 99
TABLE 39 US: EV CHARGING STATION INCENTIVES 100
5.15.2 REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 100
TABLE 40 ASIA PACIFIC: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 100
TABLE 41 NORTH AMERICA: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 101
TABLE 42 EUROPE: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 103
TABLE 43 ROW: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS 104
5.16 CONFERENCES AND EVENTS, 2023–2024 104
TABLE 44 CONFERENCES AND EVENTS, 2023–2024 104
5.17 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AND BUYING CRITERIA 105
5.17.1 KEY STAKEHOLDERS IN BUYING PROCESS 105
TABLE 45 INFLUENCE OF INSTITUTIONAL BUYERS ON PURCHASE OF ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 105
5.17.2 BUYING CRITERIA 106
5.18 TRENDS/DISRUPTIONS IMPACTING CUSTOMER BUSINESS 106
FIGURE 47 REVENUE SHIFT AND NEW REVENUE POCKETS FOR PLAYERS IN ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET 106
5.19 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET SCENARIOS, 2023–2030 107
5.19.1 MOST LIKELY SCENARIO 107
TABLE 46 MOST LIKELY SCENARIO, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 107
5.19.2 OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO 108
TABLE 47 OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 108
5.19.3 PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO 108
TABLE 48 PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 108
6 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BODY CONSTRUCTION 109
6.1 INTRODUCTION 110
FIGURE 48 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BODY CONSTRUCTION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 110
TABLE 49 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BODY CONSTRUCTION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 110
TABLE 50 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BODY CONSTRUCTION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 111
6.2 INTEGRATED 111
6.2.1 REDUCED PRODUCTION COSTS TO DRIVE GROWTH 111
6.3 SEMI-INTEGRATED 111
6.3.1 IMPROVED STRUCTURAL STRENGTH TO DRIVE GROWTH 111
6.4 FULL-SIZE 112
6.4.1 SPACIOUS CARGO CAPACITY TO DRIVE GROWTH 112
6.5 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS 112
7 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE 113
7.1 INTRODUCTION 114
FIGURE 49 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 114
TABLE 51 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 114
TABLE 52 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 115
TABLE 53 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 115
TABLE 54 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 115
7.2 PICKUP TRUCKS 116
7.2.1 INCREASED OFFERINGS FROM OEMS TO DRIVE GROWTH 116
TABLE 55 PICKUP TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 116
TABLE 56 PICKUP TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 116
TABLE 57 PICKUP TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 116
TABLE 58 PICKUP TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 117
7.3 TRUCKS 117
7.3.1 ADVANCEMENTS IN BATTERY TECHNOLOGY TO DRIVE MARKET 117
TABLE 59 TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 117
TABLE 60 TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 117
TABLE 61 TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 118
TABLE 62 TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 118
7.3.1.1 Medium-duty trucks 118
TABLE 63 MEDIUM-DUTY TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 118
TABLE 64 MEDIUM-DUTY TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 119
TABLE 65 MEDIUM-DUTY TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 119
TABLE 66 MEDIUM-DUTY TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 119
7.3.1.2 Heavy-duty trucks 120
TABLE 67 HEAVY-DUTY TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 120
TABLE 68 HEAVY-DUTY TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 120
TABLE 69 HEAVY-DUTY TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 120
TABLE 70 HEAVY-DUTY TRUCKS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 121
7.4 VANS 121
7.4.1 BOOMING LOGISTICS INDUSTRY TO DRIVE GROWTH 121
TABLE 71 VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 121
TABLE 72 VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 121
TABLE 73 VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 122
TABLE 74 VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 122
7.4.1.1 Light vans 122
TABLE 75 LIGHT VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 122
TABLE 76 LIGHT VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 123
TABLE 77 LIGHT VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 123
TABLE 78 LIGHT VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 123
7.4.1.2 Full-size vans 124
TABLE 79 FULL-SIZE VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 124
TABLE 80 FULL-SIZE VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 124
TABLE 81 FULL-SIZE VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 124
TABLE 82 FULL-SIZE VANS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 125
7.5 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS 125
8 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY PROPULSION 126
8.1 INTRODUCTION 127
FIGURE 50 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY PROPULSION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 127
TABLE 83 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY PROPULSION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 127
TABLE 84 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY PROPULSION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 128
8.2 BEVS 128
8.2.1 GOVERNMENT INCENTIVES AND SUBSIDIES TO DRIVE GROWTH 128
TABLE 85 BEVS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 128
TABLE 86 BEVS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 128
8.3 FCEVS 129
8.3.1 ONGOING DEVELOPMENTS BY OEMS TO DRIVE GROWTH 129
TABLE 87 FCEVS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 129
TABLE 88 FCEVS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 129
8.4 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS 130
9 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY TYPE 131
9.1 INTRODUCTION 132
FIGURE 51 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 132
TABLE 89 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 132
TABLE 90 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 132
9.2 NMC BATTERIES 133
9.2.1 HIGH DENSITY AND COMPACT SIZE OF NMC BATTERIES TO DRIVE GROWTH 133
TABLE 91 NMC BATTERIES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 133
TABLE 92 NMC BATTERIES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 133
9.3 LFP BATTERIES 134
9.3.1 AFFORDABLE BATTERY PRICES TO DRIVE GROWTH 134
TABLE 93 LFP BATTERIES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 134
TABLE 94 LFP BATTERIES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 134
9.4 SOLID-STATE BATTERIES 135
9.4.1 FAST RECHARGING CAPABILITIES TO DRIVE GROWTH 135
TABLE 95 SOLID-STATE BATTERIES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 135
TABLE 96 SOLID-STATE BATTERIES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 135
9.5 OTHER BATTERIES 136
TABLE 97 OTHER BATTERIES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 136
TABLE 98 OTHER BATTERIES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 136
9.6 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS 136
10 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY CAPACITY 137
10.1 INTRODUCTION 138
FIGURE 52 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY CAPACITY, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 138
TABLE 99 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY CAPACITY, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 138
TABLE 100 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY BATTERY CAPACITY, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 139
10.2 LESS THAN 60 KWH 139
10.2.1 INCREASED USE OF LESS THAN 60 KWH BATTERIES IN SHUTTLE SERVICES TO DRIVE GROWTH 139
TABLE 101 LESS THAN 60 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 139
TABLE 102 LESS THAN 60 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 140
10.3 60–120 KWH 140
10.3.1 GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES TO DRIVE GROWTH 140
TABLE 103 60–120 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 140
TABLE 104 60–120 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 141
10.4 121–200 KWH 141
10.4.1 IMPROVED DRIVING RANGE TO DRIVE GROWTH 141
TABLE 105 121–200 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 141
TABLE 106 121–200 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 141
10.5 201–300 KWH 142
10.5.1 LARGE-SCALE USE IN INTER-CITY TRANSPORTATION TO DRIVE GROWTH 142
TABLE 107 210–300 KWH ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MODELS, BY OEM 142
TABLE 108 201–300 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 142
TABLE 109 201–300 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 143
10.6 301–500 KWH 143
10.6.1 GROWING PREFERENCE FOR LONG-RANGE ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES TO DRIVE GROWTH 143
TABLE 110 301–500 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 143
TABLE 111 301–500 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 144
10.7 501–1000 KWH 144
10.7.1 GROWING E-COMMERCE AND RETAIL INDUSTRIES TO DRIVE GROWTH 144
TABLE 112 501–1000 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 144
TABLE 113 501–1000 KWH: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 144
10.8 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS 145

11 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY POWER OUTPUT 146
11.1 INTRODUCTION 147
FIGURE 53 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY POWER OUTPUT, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 147
TABLE 114 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY POWER OUTPUT, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 147
TABLE 115 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY POWER OUTPUT, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 147
11.2 LESS THAN 100 KW 148
11.2.1 INCREASING USE OF ELECTRIC VANS FOR DELIVERIES BY LOGISTICS COMPANIES TO DRIVE GROWTH 148
TABLE 116 LESS THAN 100 KW: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 148
TABLE 117 LESS THAN 100 KW: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 148
11.3 100–250 KW 149
11.3.1 DEVELOPMENT OF ADVANCED PICKUP TRUCKS TO DRIVE GROWTH 149
TABLE 118 100–250 KW: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 149
TABLE 119 100–250 KW: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 149
11.4 ABOVE 250 KW 149
11.4.1 UPCOMING MARKET FOR HEAVY ELECTRIC TRUCKS TO DRIVE GROWTH 149
TABLE 120 ABOVE 250 KW: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 150
TABLE 121 ABOVE 250 KW: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 150
11.5 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS 150
12 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY RANGE 151
12.1 INTRODUCTION 152
FIGURE 54 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY RANGE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 152
TABLE 122 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY RANGE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 152
TABLE 123 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY RANGE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 152
12.2 LESS THAN 150 MILES 153
12.2.1 GROWING USE OF ELECTRIC VANS FOR MUNICIPAL PURPOSES TO DRIVE GROWTH 153
TABLE 124 LESS THAN 150 MILES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 153
TABLE 125 LESS THAN 150 MILES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 153
12.3 150–300 MILES 154
12.3.1 HIGH ADOPTION OF ELECTRIC TRUCKS FOR DISTRIBUTION SERVICES TO DRIVE GROWTH 154
TABLE 126 150–300 MILES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 154
TABLE 127 150–300 MILES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 154
12.4 ABOVE 300 MILES 155
12.4.1 EXPANDING CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE TO DRIVE GROWTH 155
TABLE 128 ABOVE 300 MILES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 155
TABLE 129 ABOVE 300 MILES: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 155
12.5 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS 155
13 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY END USE 156
13.1 INTRODUCTION 157
FIGURE 55 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY END USER, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 157
TABLE 130 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY END USER, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 157
TABLE 131 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY END USER, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 158
13.2 LAST-MILE DELIVERY 158
13.2.1 GROWING E-COMMERCE APPLICATIONS TO DRIVE GROWTH 158
13.3 FIELD SERVICES 159
13.3.1 NEED FOR FIELD MAINTENANCE TO DRIVE GROWTH 159
13.4 DISTRIBUTION SERVICES 159
13.4.1 WIDESPREAD USE OF DELIVERY SERVICES TO DRIVE GROWTH 159
13.5 LONG-HAUL TRANSPORTATION 159
13.5.1 INCREASED ADOPTION OF ELECTRIC TRUCKS FOR INTERCITY FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION TO DRIVE GROWTH 159
13.6 REFUSE TRUCKS 160
13.6.1 IMPROVED AWARENESS TOWARD WASTE MANAGEMENT SERVICES TO DRIVE GROWTH 160
13.7 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS 160
14 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COMPONENT 161
14.1 INTRODUCTION 161
14.2 BATTERY PACKS 161
TABLE 132 PRODUCTS OFFERED, BY BATTERY MANUFACTURERS 162
14.3 ONBOARD CHARGERS 162
TABLE 133 ONBOARD CHARGER MANUFACTURERS FOR ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 162
14.4 ELECTRIC MOTORS 163
TABLE 134 ELECTRIC TRUCK MODELS, BY ELECTRIC MOTOR TYPE 163
14.5 INVERTERS 163
14.6 DC-DC CONVERTERS 163
FIGURE 56 DC-DC CONVERTER 164
14.7 FUEL-CELL STACKS 164
15 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION 165
15.1 INTRODUCTION 166
FIGURE 57 GLOBAL LIGHT ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE TARGETS 166
FIGURE 58 GLOBAL ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET STRATEGIES 167
FIGURE 59 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 167
TABLE 135 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 168
TABLE 136 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 168
TABLE 137 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 168
TABLE 138 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY REGION, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 168
15.2 ASIA PACIFIC 169
15.2.1 RECESSION IMPACT ANALYSIS 169
FIGURE 60 ASIA PACIFIC: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET SNAPSHOT 170
TABLE 139 ASIA PACIFIC: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 170
TABLE 140 ASIA PACIFIC: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 171
TABLE 141 ASIA PACIFIC: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 171
TABLE 142 ASIA PACIFIC: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 171
15.2.2 CHINA 172
15.2.2.1 Predominance of leading players to drive growth 172
TABLE 143 CHINA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 172
TABLE 144 CHINA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 172
TABLE 145 CHINA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 173
TABLE 146 CHINA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 173
15.2.3 JAPAN 173
15.2.3.1 Increased investments in R&D to drive growth 173
TABLE 147 JAPAN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 174
TABLE 148 JAPAN ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 174
TABLE 149 JAPAN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 174
TABLE 150 JAPAN ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 175
15.2.4 INDIA 175
15.2.4.1 Booming automotive industry to drive growth 175
TABLE 151 PLANNED INVESTMENTS IN INDIAN BATTERY MANUFACTURING SPACE, 2022 176
TABLE 152 INDIA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 176
TABLE 153 INDIA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 176
TABLE 154 INDIA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 177
TABLE 155 INDIA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 177
15.2.5 SOUTH KOREA 177
15.2.5.1 Rising demand for electric pickup trucks to drive growth 177
TABLE 156 SOUTH KOREA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 178
TABLE 157 SOUTH KOREA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 178
TABLE 158 SOUTH KOREA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 178
TABLE 159 SOUTH KOREA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 179
15.3 EUROPE 179
15.3.1 RECESSION IMPACT ANALYSIS 179
FIGURE 61 EUROPE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 180
TABLE 160 EUROPE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 181
TABLE 161 EUROPE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 181
TABLE 162 EUROPE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 182
TABLE 163 EUROPE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 182
15.3.2 FRANCE 183
15.3.2.1 Increased adoption of electric vans for delivery purposes to drive growth 183
TABLE 164 FRANCE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 183
TABLE 165 FRANCE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 183
TABLE 166 FRANCE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 184
TABLE 167 FRANCE: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 184
15.3.3 GERMANY 184
15.3.3.1 Setup of charging corridors to drive growth 184
TABLE 168 GERMANY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 185
TABLE 169 GERMANY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 185
TABLE 170 GERMANY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 185
TABLE 171 GERMANY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 186
15.3.4 SPAIN 186
15.3.4.1 Government focus on sustainable mobility solutions to drive growth 186
TABLE 172 SPAIN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 186
TABLE 173 SPAIN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 187
TABLE 174 SPAIN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 187
TABLE 175 SPAIN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 187
15.3.5 AUSTRIA 188
15.3.5.1 Government incentives to drive growth 188
TABLE 176 AUSTRIA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 188
TABLE 177 AUSTRIA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 188
TABLE 178 AUSTRIA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 189
TABLE 179 AUSTRIA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 189
15.3.6 NORWAY 189
15.3.6.1 Logistics and fleet providers to drive growth 189
TABLE 180 NORWAY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 190
TABLE 181 NORWAY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 190
TABLE 182 NORWAY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 191
TABLE 183 NORWAY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 191
15.3.7 SWEDEN 191
15.3.7.1 Presence of leading OEMs and start-ups to drive growth 191
TABLE 184 SWEDEN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 192
TABLE 185 SWEDEN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 192
TABLE 186 SWEDEN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 193
TABLE 187 SWEDEN: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 193
15.3.8 NETHERLANDS 193
15.3.8.1 Development of EV charging infrastructure to drive growth 193
TABLE 188 NETHERLANDS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 194
TABLE 189 NETHERLANDS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 194
TABLE 190 NETHERLANDS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 194
TABLE 191 NETHERLANDS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 195
15.3.9 UK 195
15.3.9.1 Government electrification targets to drive growth 195
FIGURE 62 UK EV ROADMAP 196
TABLE 192 UK: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 196
TABLE 193 UK: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 196
TABLE 194 UK: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 197
TABLE 195 UK: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 197
15.3.10 ITALY 197
15.3.10.1 Advancements in electric commercial vehicles to drive growth 197
TABLE 196 ITALY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 198
TABLE 197 ITALY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 198
TABLE 198 ITALY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 198
TABLE 199 ITALY: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 199
15.3.11 OTHERS 199
TABLE 200 OTHERS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 199
TABLE 201 OTHERS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 200
TABLE 202 OTHERS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 200
TABLE 203 OTHERS: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 200
15.4 NORTH AMERICA 201
15.4.1 RECESSION IMPACT ANALYSIS 201
FIGURE 63 NORTH AMERICAN EV BATTERY INITIATIVES 202
FIGURE 64 NORTH AMERICA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET SNAPSHOT 203
TABLE 204 NORTH AMERICA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 203
TABLE 205 NORTH AMERICA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 203
TABLE 206 NORTH AMERICA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 204
TABLE 207 NORTH AMERICA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 204
15.4.2 US 204
15.4.2.1 Rising adoption of electric pickup trucks in US to drive growth 204
FIGURE 65 INTEGRATION MODEL FOR ELECTRIC PICKUP TRUCKS IN FLEETS 205
FIGURE 66 ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE DEMAND, BY END USER 205
TABLE 208 US: ELECTRIC VEHICLE INCENTIVES 206
TABLE 209 US: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 206
TABLE 210 US: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 206
TABLE 211 US: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 207
TABLE 212 US: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 207
15.4.3 CANADA 208
15.4.3.1 Government subsidies and presence of key players to drive growth 208
TABLE 213 CANADA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (UNITS) 208
TABLE 214 CANADA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (UNITS) 208
TABLE 215 CANADA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2019–2022 (USD MILLION) 209
TABLE 216 CANADA: ELECTRIC COMMERCIAL VEHICLE MARKET, BY VEHICLE TYPE, 2023–2030 (USD MILLION) 209

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Table of Contents

Summary

The global electric commercial vehicle market size is projected to grow from 519.4 thousand units in 2023 to 2,155.1 thousand units by 2030, at a CAGR of 22.5%. Governments support to EV’s through incentives and schemes for using electric vehicles and collaborating with top automobile manufacturers will increase the EV adoption . Electric commercial vehicles operates at lower cost than ICE commercial vehicles. Growing research of EV batteries and EV charging systems will drive the electric commercial vehicle market. Electric vehicle charging stations, battery swapping stations and fleet stations are required to be installed globally for growing the demand for electric commercial vehicles.
“Less Than 150 Miles is expected to be the largest market in the forecast period.”
Low performance and affordable electric commercial vehicles usually have a range of less than 150 miles. Several OEMs offer electric vans with low-cost batteries with a restricted range of 100-150 miles. OEMs have been providing trucks and vans for this segment over the years. For instance, in 2023, Rizon, a brand of Daimler, launched the e18L, e16L, and the e16M medium duty electric trucks with a range of 110-160 miles. Furthermore, Bollinger Motors launched a medium duty all-electric truck Bollinger B4 in September 2022, which is an all-wheel-drive aluminum body vehicle. It has a range of 100 – 200 miles. Municipalities use low range electric vans and trucks for a variety of services, including waste collection, street sweeping, and maintenance tasks. Electric vehicles are an excellent choice for these tasks because they produce no emissions and are much quieter than gas or diesel-powered vehicles. In 2021, Irizar Group received order for 10 electric trucks which will be used for refuse services.
“NMC will be the largest segment in the forecast period by battery type”
Nickel-manganese-cobalt oxide batteries (NMC) are composed of several materials with different properties, high density, and efficiency. These batteries are ideal for use in electric commercial vehicles as they have a low self-heating rate while in operation. The chemical composition of the NMC batteries comprises lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide as the cathode and graphite as the anode. The NMC batteries are very expensive and toxic due to the presence of cobalt. OEMs have now started to shift towards the adoption of higher content of nickel in cathodes. Compared to cobalt, nickel cells have a lower cost and higher life cycle. NMC batteries are preferable for a longer range and in colder climate conditions in Europe and North America. The NMC batteries are generally used because cobalt and nickel cells have a lower cost, higher life cycle, more stability, and higher energy density. NMC batteries are preferable for long-range and colder climate conditions in Europe and North America. NMC batteries offer high-density packs within the same dimension and same weight, due to which their demand is expected to significantly grow in upcoming years. In 2021, BHP announced the signing of a nickel supply agreement with Tesla, Inc. In addition to the supply agreement, BHP and Tesla Inc will collaborate on ways to make the battery supply chain more sustainable. In January 2022, GODI (India) announced the manufacturing of the first batch of commercial-grade NMC batteries. These factors are expected to fuel the growth of NMC batteries in electric commercial vehicles.
Asia Pacific shows high growth potential for electric commercial vehicle market
Asia Pacific is home to many OEMs, such as Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (India), BYD (China), King Long (China), Toyota Motor Corporation (Japan), and Nissan Motor Corporation (Japan). The Asia Pacific market is dominated by China, which has large sales volumes for electric commercial vehicles. Japan also plays a vital role in automotive technology in Asia Pacific. With advancements in technologies, the Japanese electric commercial vehicle market is expected to grow. In July 2022, Toyota Motor Corporation announced to work with Allied Motors to develop fuel cell electric vans. The rising demand of customers for faster deliveries is the key factor driving the growth of the last mile delivery market in Asia Pacific. Governments of these countries have encouraged installing EV charging stations, formulated emission norms, and set deadlines for shifting to full or hybrid EVs from ICE vehicles. India is also working on increasing its electric vans and trucks in the market. The new vehicle scrappage policy in which old vehicles can be scrapped off for changing to low emission zones and other upcoming policies will help the country become a lucrative market for electric commercial vehicle in the coming years.

“Last Mile Delivery is expected to be largest in market in the forecast period.”
The rise of e-commerce has significantly increased the demand for last-mile delivery services, leading to various developments in the commercial vehicle sector. Companies are adding electric commercial vehicles, such as electric vans, electric trucks and pickup trucks, to their fleets to reduce expenses and reduce vehicle emissions. In May 2022, Terrago (India) used a fleet of 65 Mahindra Treo Zor cargo vehicles for delivery purpose in India. The electric commercial market will grow due to the increasing investments by governments across the globe.
In-depth interviews were conducted with CEOs, marketing directors, other innovation and technology directors, and executives from various key organizations operating in this market.
• By Company Type: OEMs - 50% Tier I - 33%, Tier 2 - 17%, and
• By Designation: CXOs-45% , Directors-35% , Others*- 20%
• By Region: North America - 22%, Europe - 42% and Asia Pacific - 36%
The electric commercial vehicle market is dominated by established players such as BYD (China), Mercedes Benz Group AG (Germany), AB Volvo (Sweden), Tesla, Inc (US), and PACCAR Inc (US). The market ranking has been derived by considering ECV sales and a certain percentage of segmental revenue for each of the companies mentioned above. These companies also offer extensive products and solutions for the automotive industry. These companies have strong distribution networks at the global level, and they invest heavily in R&D to develop new products.
Research Coverage:
Electric Commercial Vehicle Market by Propulsion (BEV, FCEV), Vehicle Type (Pickup Truck, Truck, Van), Range, Battery Type, Power Output, Battery Capacity, Component, End User, by Body Construction and Region. It also covers the competitive landscape and company profiles of the major players in the electric commercial vehicle market ecosystem. The study also includes an in-depth competitive analysis of the key players in the market, along with their company profiles, key observations related to product and business offerings, recent developments, and key market strategies.

Reasons to buy the Report:
• The report will help market leaders/new entrants in this market with information on the closest approximations of revenue numbers for the overall electric commercial vehicle market and its subsegments.
• This report will help stakeholders understand the competitive landscape and gain more insights to better position their businesses and plan suitable go-to-market strategies.
• The report also helps stakeholders understand the pulse of the market and provides them information on key market drivers, restraints, challenges, and opportunities.

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