Summary

The global military expenditure is estimated to be USD 2,563.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 2,688.7 billion in 2025 at a growth rate of 4.9% from 2023 to 2024. The Global Defense Outlook 2025 provides an in-depth examination of significant trends and recent advancements in the defense sector. It anticipates potential future developments and associated opportunities in 2025 and beyond. This study is designed to empower participants in the defense industry to make strategic decisions, with a particular focus on key forthcoming opportunities.
Utilizing meticulously curated datasets within the Aerospace and Defense practice, the analysis incorporates insights from both the research team and industry experts. In addition to drawing on major findings from published syndicate studies, this outlook study incorporates firsthand observations from recent, thorough investigations. The analysis encompasses crucial programs and contracts, along with an assessment of the impact of ongoing and recent conflicts. Persistent threat perceptions and emerging defense risks are also addressed to validate future predictions.
Global macroeconomic trends are scrutinized to compare economic indicators and their correlation with defense spending, especially capital expenditure. Special attention is given to the competitive landscape of the defense industry, highlighting new product launches and significant contract wins to substantiate the developments and future opportunities under consideration.
The analysis goes on to evaluate the performance of the global defense industry in 2024 and projects the same for 2025. The predictive analysis for 2025 also outlines the expected key trends in the defense industry. This particular segment is crafted to offer a comprehensive overview of emerging opportunities for defense industry participants, particularly those targeted for customized, in-depth investigations by the Aerospace & Defense practice.
Scope:
BASE YEAR  2024
STUDY PERIOD  2023―2025
FORECAST YEAR  2025
GEOGRAPHICAL
SCOPE  North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East
KEY CONCEPTS  Global military expenditure analysis
 Fleet size analysis (land, airborne, and naval)
 Autonomous platforms
 Trending technologies
• Digital & innovative startups thriving in the defense sector
• Ai startups attracting investments from defense OEMS
• Major acquisitions in the defense sector
• Evolution of space as a critical warfighting domain
• Drones reshaping battlefield
• Growing focus on multidomain operations
• Growing adoption of unmanned underwater vehicles in defense
• Naval asset sustainment
• Predictive maintenance and digital twin technologies
• Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East
KEY FOCUS AREAS  Technological advancements and opportunities in the defense industry
Methodology:
STUDY OBJECTIVES  To understand the key technologies and geo-political trends impacting the defense industry in 2025
 To estimate the defense industry performance at the global level, key regions, and sector/segment
 To identify growth opportunities and provide recommendations for market participants to tap key opportunities
METHODOLOGY SECONDARY RESEARCH
 Historical data in MarketsandMarkets (MnM) reports and KnowledgeStore
 Analysis of defense budget allocation and relevant data collected from various defense associations and publications (UN Comtrade, Comptroller, and others) as well as third-party databases (SIPRI, Small Arms Survey, and others) across regions
 Key trends, market drivers, and restraints from various industry articles, reports, and journals
DISCUSSIONS WITH EXPERTS
 Opinions of key experts about market drivers and restraints, as well as industry performance
MARKETSANDMARKETS (MNM) ANALYSIS
 Existing domain knowledge to analyze and forecast various defense markets
WHO SHOULD BE INTERESTED IN THE REPORT  Industry stakeholders (OEMs, Tier I and Tier II suppliers, service providers, and others) with business interests in Defense Outlook for 2025
 The report boasts of insights and market developments for leadership and teams aligned with strategy, product, R&D, sales, and marketing

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Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1 KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN 2024
1.2 KEY PREDICTIONS FOR 2025
2. RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVES, AND METHODOLOGY
2.1 STUDY SCOPE
2.2 STUDY OBJECTIVES AND METHODOLOGY
3. GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS
3.1 MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF TOP 10 COUNTRIES: REAL GDP GROWTH RATE AND GDP PER CAPITA
3.2 GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS: GLOBAL GDP AND DEFENSE EXPENDITURE AS A SHARE OF GDP
3.3 GLOBAL AND COUNTRY-LEVEL MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS: DEFENSE EXPENDITURE, 2023–2025
3.4 GLOBAL AND COUNTRY-LEVEL MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS: SHARE OF GLOBAL ARMS IMPORTS AND EXPORTS
4. GLOBAL DEFENSE INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE
4.1 GLOBAL MILITARY EXPENDITURE, 2023 VS. 2024
4.2 PLATFORM-WISE BUDGET ALLOCATION, 2023 VS. 2024
4.3 LAND COMBAT VEHICLES, 2023 VS. 2024
4.4 GLOBAL COMBAT AIRCRAFT VS. HELICOPTERS VS. TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT,
2023 VS. 2024
4.5 GLOBAL COMBAT AIRCRAFT, 2023 VS. 2024
4.6 GLOBAL COMBAT HELICOPTERS, 2023 VS. 2024
4.7 GLOBAL TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT, 2023 VS. 2024
4.8 GLOBAL COMBAT VESSEL, 2023 VS. 2024
5. KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN GLOBAL DEFENSE INDUSTRY, 2024
5.1 KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN 2024
5.1.1 DIGITAL & INNOVATIVE STARTUPS THRIVING IN THE DEFENSE SECTOR
5.1.2 AI STARTUPS ATTRACTING INVESTMENTS FROM DEFENSE OEMS
5.1.3 MAJOR ACQUISITIONS IN THE DEFENSE SECTOR
5.1.4 EVOLUTION OF SPACE AS A CRITICAL WARFIGHTING DOMAIN
5.1.5 DRONES RESHAPING BATTLEFIELD
5.1.6 GROWING FOCUS ON MULTIDOMAIN OPERATIONS
5.1.7 UNMANNED UNDERWATER VEHICLES (UUVS) IN DEFENSE
5.1.8 NAVAL ASSET SUSTAINMENT
5.1.9 PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE & DIGITAL TWIN IN DEFENSE
5.1.10 GEOPOLITICAL CONFLICTS IN THE MIDDLE EAST
5.1.11 DEFENSE STOCK PRICES
6. GLOBAL DEFENSE INDUSTRY: COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
6.1 GLOBAL DEFENSE INDUSTRY OUTLOOK: COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS
7. GLOBAL DEFENSE INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE, 2024 VS. 2025
7.1 GLOBAL MILITARY EXPENDITURE, 2024 VS. 2025
7.2 PLATFORM-WISE BUDGET ALLOCATION, 2024 VS. 2025
7.3 GLOBAL LAND COMBAT VEHICLES, 2024 VS. 2025
7.4 GLOBAL COMBAT AIRCRAFT VS. HELICOPTERS VS. TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT,
2024 VS. 2025
7.5 GLOBAL COMBAT VESSEL, 2024 VS. 2025
8. KEY TRENDS IN DEFENSE INDUSTRY, 2025
8.1 KEY TRENDS IN 2025
8.1.1 GROWING ADOPTION OF AUTONOMOUS COUNTER-DRONE SYSTEMS
8.1.2 HYPERSONIC TECHNOLOGIES IN DEFENSE
8.1.3 HYPERSONIC INTERCEPTORS TO BE DEVELOPED FOR MISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEMS
8.1.4 MULTIPLE DEFENSE FORCES TO INVEST IN ENHANCED SPACE SITUATIONAL AWARENESS
8.1.5 DEPLOYMENT OF AR & VR TECHNOLOGIES IN DEFENSE
8.1.6 GROWING ADOPTION OF LASER-BASED SPACE COMMUNICATION IN DEFENSE
8.1.7 WEAPONIZATION OF ROBOTS IN DEFENSE
8.1.8 CYBERSECURITY FOR DEFENSE
8.1.9 NET ZERO INITIATIVES IN DEFENSE
8.1.10 FUTURE OF NATO UNDER TRUMP: IMPLICATIONS FOR MEMBER BUDGETS
8.1.11 ELON MUSK'S ROLE IN DOGE ON DEFENSE SPENDING
9. KEY GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND RECOMMENDATIONS
9.1 AUTONOMOUS COUNTER-DRONE SYSTEMS
9.2 HYPERSONIC TECHNOLOGIES IN DEFENSE
9.3 HYPERSONIC INTERCEPTORS FOR MISSILE DEFENSE
9.4 ENHANCED SPACE SITUATIONAL AWARENESS CAPABILITIES
9.5 DEPLOYMENT OF AR & VR TECHNOLOGIES IN DEFENSE
9.6 LASER-BASED SPACE COMMUNICATION
9.7 WEAPONIZED ROBOTS
9.8 CYBERSECURITY
9.9 NET ZERO INITIATIVES IN DEFENSE

 

10. KEY TAKEAWAYS
11. APPENDIX
11.1 TOP 15 GLOBAL TRENDS, 2024
11.2 ABOUT MARKETSANDMARKETS
11.3 LEGAL DISCLAIMER