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自律走行車両、ロボッタクシー、センサー 2022-2042年

Autonomous Cars, Robotaxis & Sensors 2022-2042

この調査レポートは、自律走行車とロボッタクシー市場について詳細に調査・分析しています。主な掲載内容（目次より抜粋）全体概要と結論はじめに規制と立法の進... もっと見る

出版社	出版年月	電子版価格	ページ数	言語
IDTechEx アイディーテックエックス	2021年8月16日	US$6,500 電子ファイル（1-5ユーザライセンス）ライセンス・価格情報・注文方法はこちら	364	英語

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この調査レポートは、自律走行車とロボッタクシー市場について詳細に調査・分析しています。

主な掲載内容（目次より抜粋）

全体概要と結論
はじめに規制と立法の進捗状況
自家用自動運転車
サービスとしてのモビリティ (MAA)

Report Summary

In recent years, vast improvements to autonomous vehicle technologies such as radar, lidar, HD cameras and software have propelled robotaxis to the cusp of market-readiness. Autonomous trials from Waymo, Cruise, and others are now evolving into autonomous services, with legislative barriers clearing. New IDTechEx forecasts reveal how these services will come to dominate within 20 years, creating massive opportunities for the underlying sensors market, which grows at over 30% CAGR.

Autonomous Vehicles

'Autonomous vehicle' (AV) is an umbrella term for the six levels as defined by the SAE. Today, most new cars are arriving with the option of level 2 functionality, and the industry is technically ready for level 3 once regulatory hurdles clear.

Some regions are even pushing for level 4 technology, but most activity here is still with autonomous mobility start-ups and in trial stages. Overall, the report finds autonomous vehicles will become a massively disruptive technology which will grow rapidly at a rate of up to 47% to transform the auto market over the next two decades.

SAE's six levels of autonomy. Source: SAE, IDTechEx

Generally, there are two pathways to full autonomy: incremental progression through the SAE levels, the path taken by established OEMs; and direct to level 4 with autonomous trialling (typically with retrofitted vehicles) with the aim to provide mobility-as-a-service (MaaS), the path taken by the start-ups. In both areas, the report finds significant growth and progression in Europe, the US and China.

Regulatory Hurdles Overcome

Level 3 technology has been ready since 2017, however automakers have not been able to release these autonomous features due to legislation, which has had unclear definitions about how the technology should work, and liability in the event of an accident.

Recently, regulations have started to improve, allowing some regions such as Japan, Germany and the UK to have level 3 vehicles on their roads by the end of 2021. IDTechEx expects significant adoption of level 3 and level 4 technology within the car market over the next 10-20 years, radicalising the way society travels and causing huge disruption to the auto sector's century old business models.

Source: IDTechEx

Market Leaders

Within this report, we analyse the strategies of OEMs and their attitudes towards autonomising their models, what features they are bringing and what sensor suites they are using, including solid state LiDAR, mechanically rotating LiDAR, radar, imaging radar, cameras, short wave infrared (SWIR) thermal cameras and more. Honda and Mercedes are the leaders here, with Honda releasing a level 3 vehicle into the Japanese market and Mercedes preparing a level 3 release in Autumn 2021. GM and Tesla are close behind with level 3 cars in waiting (technically ready but held back by regulations). In China Arcfox and Xpeng are pushing for level 3 to level 4 vehicles, but are again held back by regulations.

The leaders of the mobility start-ups such as Waymo, Cruise, Baidu and AutoX are well established, and their trials are progressively transforming into commercial services. From analysis of the top performing players since 2015, IDTechEx predicts that autonomous driving systems will be on par with human safety levels by the end of 2023.

Given the current state of trials and existing plans for further expansion from key players, IDTechEx believes 2023 will be the start of the AV revolution. IDTechEx expects that the trials will grow within their existing cities and then spread from city to city much in the same way as ride-hailing platforms (Uber, Lyft, Didi etc.) over the past decade. IDTechEx reports on the activity of the key autonomous players, their response to the COVID-19 crisis and their latest sensor suites.

Source: IDTechEx

Sensor Trends

The report finds that autonomy will create massive opportunities in the automotive sensors industry. IDTechEx reports on the progress in cameras (including infrared and event-based detection), radar, LiDAR and supporting technologies such as connectivity and teleoperation. Within the key three sensors we see adoption of higher resolution cameras and higher frame rates, advancements in the performance and power of radar and significant cost reductions in LiDAR. Our analysis is based on primary information, with the report containing 8+ primary interviews from key players.

Source: IDTechEx

Key topics covered:

Private AVs
Shared and mobility as a service (MaaS) AVs
Regional breakdowns in analysis and forecasts: US, China, Europe, RoW
Key player activities in autonomous mobility as a service with primary interviews
Camera, Radar and LiDAR suite analysis
Key regulatory barriers and changes (by region)
Key safety certifier changes which will mandate sensor adoption in coming years
Key trends in enabling technologies; Camera (including infrared), radar, LiDAR, connectivity, localisation, HD mapping and more.

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Summary

この調査レポートは、自律走行車とロボッタクシー市場について詳細に調査・分析しています。

主な掲載内容（目次より抜粋）

全体概要と結論
はじめに規制と立法の進捗状況
自家用自動運転車
サービスとしてのモビリティ (MAA)

Report Summary

Autonomous Vehicles

SAE's six levels of autonomy. Source: SAE, IDTechEx

Regulatory Hurdles Overcome

Source: IDTechEx

Market Leaders

Source: IDTechEx

Sensor Trends

Source: IDTechEx

Key topics covered:

Private AVs
Shared and mobility as a service (MaaS) AVs
Regional breakdowns in analysis and forecasts: US, China, Europe, RoW
Key player activities in autonomous mobility as a service with primary interviews
Camera, Radar and LiDAR suite analysis
Key regulatory barriers and changes (by region)
Key safety certifier changes which will mandate sensor adoption in coming years
Key trends in enabling technologies; Camera (including infrared), radar, LiDAR, connectivity, localisation, HD mapping and more.

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1.1.

IDTechEx Autonomous Car Report

1.2.

The Components of Autonomy

1.3.

SAE Levels of Automation in Cars

1.4.

Mixed Impact of COVID-19 in Autonomous Vehicles

1.5.

Impact of COVID-19 on the Automotive Market

1.6.

Legislative Barriers for Private Autonomous Vehicles

1.7.

Legislation Breakdown by Region

1.8.

Forecasting Adoption of Level 3 and 4 Technology

1.9.

Sensor Requirements for Different Levels of Autonomy

1.10.

Important Trends in the Sensor Holy Trinity

1.11.

Autonomy Will Bring Unparalleled Road Safety

1.12.

Autonomous MaaS has Arrived

1.13.

MaaS Market Entry by Region

1.14.

MaaS Adoption Forecast

1.15.

Car Sales Will Peak in the Early 2030s

1.16.

Forecasted Car Sales by Region 2022- 2042

1.17.

Car Sales Broken Down by SAE Level

1.18.

How Will Level 4 Progress to level 5?

1.19.

Sensors Market Revenue ($) Forecast

1.20.

MaaS Global Market Revenue ($) Forecast: 2021-2041

1.21.

Conclusions

1.22.

14 IDTechEx Portal Profiles

INTRODUCTION

2.1.

Why Automate Cars?

2.2.

The Automation Levels in Detail

2.3.

Functions of Autonomous Driving at Different Levels

2.4.

Roadmap of Autonomous Driving Functions

2.5.

Typical Sensor Suite for Autonomous Cars

2.6.

Sensors and their Purpose

2.7.

Evolution of Sensor Suite from Level 1 to Level 4

2.8.

Two Development Paths Towards Autonomous Driving

2.9.

Autonomy is Changing the Automotive Supply Chain

2.10.

Future Mobility Scenarios: Autonomous and Shared

2.11.

Privately Owned Autonomous Vehicles

2.12.

Mobility as a Service

2.13.

COVID-19 as a Driver for Autonomy in MaaS

2.14.

Semiconductor Content Increase in AVs

2.15.

Semiconductor Content Increase in EVs

2.16.

COVID-19 as a Barrier to Autonomy

REGULATORY & LEGISLATIVE PROGRESS

3.1.

EU Mandating Level 2 Autonomy from July 2022

3.2.

Privately owned Autonomous Vehicles

3.3.

Legislation and Autonomy

3.4.

Level 3, Legislation, UK, Europe and Japan

3.5.

The European Commission's Roadmap to Autonomy

3.6.

Level 3, Legislation, US

3.7.

Level 3, Legislation, China

3.8.

The Autonomous Legal Race

PRIVATE AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES

4.1.

Emerging Level 2+ Terminology.

4.2.

Sensor Suite Disclaimer

4.3.

Audi

4.4.

Audi A8 - Sensor suite

4.5.

Honda

4.6.

Honda Legend - Sensor suite

4.7.

Tesla

4.8.

Tesla Autopilot - Sensor suite

4.9.

General Motors (GM)

4.10.

Cadillac Escalade - Sensor suite

4.11.

General Motors - Precise GNSS localisation

4.12.

Daimler/Mercedes

4.13.

Mercedes S-class - Sensor Suite

4.14.

Daimler/Bosch Autonomous Parking

4.15.

BMW

4.16.

BMW iX - Sensor Suite.

4.17.

Ford **Ford skipping level 3**

4.18.

Ford/Argo AI - Sensor suite

4.19.

Volkswagen **Skipping level 3**

4.20.

Volkswagen ID.Buzz - Sensor Suite

4.21.

Toyota/Lexus

4.22.

Lexus LS and Toyota Mirai

4.23.

Renault/Nissan/Mitsubishi alliance

4.24.

Nissan ProPilot 2.0 - Sensor Suite

4.25.

Hyundai/Kia

4.26.

PSA

4.27.

PSA's self driving sensor suite

4.28.

FCA, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

4.29.

Huawei and Arcfox

4.30.

Arcfox Alpha S - Sensor suite

4.31.

Xpeng

4.32.

Xpeng P5 - Sensor suite

4.33.

BYD

4.34.

BYD Han - Sensor suite

4.35.

Geely (parent company of Volvo)

4.36.

Geely Xing Yue L - Sensor suite

4.37.

Changan

4.38.

Changan UNI-T - Sensor suite

4.39.

Leaders

4.40.

Sensor suite meta-data

4.41.

Sensors in privately owned autonomous vehicles

4.42.

Summary of Privately Owned Autonomous Vehicles

MOBILITY AS A SERVICE (MAAS)

5.1.

MaaS Level 4 is Different From Privately Owned Level 4

5.2.

Robotaxis & Robot Shuttles

5.3.

When Will Level 4 MaaS Be Ready?

5.4.

Who Are The Top 3 Performers?

5.5.

Testing - Impact From COVID-19

5.6.

Testing

5.7.

Best Performers In 2020 By Disengagements (US)

5.8.

DMV Collision Report Analysis

5.9.

Driverless Testing Timeline

5.10.

Waymo

5.11.

Waymo Sensor Suite

5.12.

Waymo - Covid Response

5.13.

Waymo's Strategic Partnerships

5.14.

Cruise

5.15.

Cruise Sensor Suite.

5.16.

Cruise - Covid Response

5.17.

AutoX

5.18.

AutoX Sensor Suite

5.19.

AutoX - Covid Response

5.20.

Baidu/Apollo

5.21.

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自律走行車両、ロボッタクシー、センサー 2022-2042年

サマリー

目次

Summary

Table of Contents

ご注文は、お電話またはWEBから承ります。お見積もりの作成もお気軽にご相談ください。

本レポートと同分野（センシングカメラ）の最新刊レポート

IDTechEx 社の最新刊レポート

本レポートと同じKEY WORD（camera）の最新刊レポート

よくあるご質問

IDTechEx社はどのような調査会社ですか?

調査レポートの納品までの日数はどの程度ですか?

注文の手続きはどのようになっていますか?

お支払方法の方法はどのようになっていますか?

データリソース社はどのような会社ですか?