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Mobile services in emerging Asia-Pacific: trends and forecasts 2019-2024アジア太平洋地域の新興国のモバイルサービス：動向と予測 2019-2024年 Emerging Asia-Pacific (EMAP) contains some of the most dynamic telecoms markets and fastest growing economies in the world. This report examines key trends and drivers, and provides comprehensive t... もっと見る
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SummaryEmerging Asia-Pacific (EMAP) contains some of the most dynamic telecoms markets and fastest growing economies in the world. This report examines key trends and drivers, and provides comprehensive telecoms market forecasts and insights for the region and for six modelled countries.Table of ContentsTable of contents: 5.Executive summary
Executive summary Worldwide trends Worldwide: mobile handset data services will drive telecoms retail revenue growth worldwide Regional trends The total telecoms service revenue will continue to grow, driven by the increasing number of connections Monthly data consumption per connection will increase six-fold during 2018-2024, but the contract share of mobile connections will only grow marginally Mobile penetration rates will increase in most countries, and will only decline in Cambodia and Malaysia due to a fall in multi-SIM ownership ARPU will decline in most countries during the forecast period due to growing competition and regulatory pressure Increasing subscriber numbers and rising mobile data revenue will support the growth of mobile service revenue over the forecast period Country-level trends China: the Chinese telecoms market is the most-advanced telecoms market in EMAP Indonesia: the number of mobile connections will recover rapidly following the large drop due to the 2018 prepaid SIM card registration regulation Malaysia: high levels of competition will limit the total telecoms revenue growth during the forecast period 19.Philippines: the expected entry of a third MNO and a challenging regulatory environment will lead to a moderate increase in mobile retail revenue
Thailand: Thailand has some of the highest mobile data traffic per connection figures in the region Vietnam: price competition in the prepaid mobile segment will lead to a decline in mobile service revenue Forecast methodology and assumptions Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge Examples of forecast input drivers About the authors and Analysys Mason About the authors Analysys Mason’s consulting and research are uniquely positioned Research from Analysys Mason Consulting from Analysys Mason List of figures:
Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2014-2024 Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type, and mobile ARPU, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2014-2024 Figure 10b: Mobile penetration by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2014-2024 Figure 11b: Mobile ARPU by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2014-2024 Figure 13: Mobile connections by type, China (billion), 2014-2024 Figure 14: Mobile ARPU, Indonesia (IDR thousand per month), 2014-2024 Figure 15: Mobile connections by type, Indonesia (million), 2014-2024 Figure 16: Mobile ARPU, Malaysia (MYR per month), 2014-2024 Figure 17: Mobile connections by type, Malaysia (million), 2014-2024 Figure 18: Mobile ARPU, Philippines (PHP per month), 2014-2024 Figure 19: Mobile connections by type, Philippines (million), 2014-2024 Figure 20: Mobile ARPU, Thailand (THB per month), 2014-2024 Figure 21: Mobile connections by type, Thailand (million), 2014-2024 Figure 22: Mobile ARPU, Vietnam (VND thousand per month), 2014-2024 Figure 23: Mobile connections by type, Vietnam (million), 2014-2024
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