世界各国のリアルタイムなデータ・インテリジェンスで皆様をお手伝い

有人電気航空機:スマートシティと地域 2021-2041年


Manned Electric Aircraft: Smart City and Regional 2021-2041

この調査レポートは、20年先の電動航空機を予測し、100人乗りまでの航空機とそれに相当する貨物機を対象とし、2050年に向けて大型機の電動化がどのように収束していくかに触れています。   ... もっと見る

 

 

出版社 出版年月 電子版価格 ページ数 言語
IDTechEx
アイディーテックエックス
2021年4月21日 US$6,500
電子ファイル(1-5ユーザライセンス)
ライセンス・価格情報・注文方法はこちら
396 英語

※ 調査会社の事情により、予告なしに価格が変更になる場合がございます。
最新の価格はデータリソースまでご確認ください。

下記、日本語のページは自動翻訳を利用し作成しています。


 

サマリー

この調査レポートは、20年先の電動航空機を予測し、100人乗りまでの航空機とそれに相当する貨物機を対象とし、2050年に向けて大型機の電動化がどのように収束していくかに触れています。
 
主な掲載内容(目次より抜粋)
  1. 全体概要および結論
  2. はじめに
  3. バッテリー電気固定翼機
  4. バッテリー電気EVTOL航空機
  5. 燃料電池電気航空機
Report Details
This report is the first to forecast electric aircraft for 20 years ahead, while reflecting the realities of how the huge new $30 billion market that is identified will be structured. Primarily, it covers aircraft up to 100 passengers and equivalent freighters, touching on how electrification of larger aircraft converges with these to 2050. For example, 2041 will see about half of the zero-emission aircraft market value being in fixed-wing conventional takeoff and landing eCTOL and half in eVTOL but both involving General Aviation and Commercial applications. At the heavier end, fuel cell and hybrid powertrains have a place and that is reflected in the coverage of the report.
 
About one third of the report is dedicated to the technology and two thirds to the projects and aircraft. Because they are key 2021-2041, particular attention is given to batteries, motors, solar and VTOL aerodynamics in the technology sections. However, you can also learn powertrains including voltage trends benchmarked against minigrids and cars. The approach is to reveal commercial opportunities and benefits to society including the new smart cities. The opportunities include those for materials, devices and systems. It is not academic. It is not historical beyond data to compare with forecasts.
 
Uniquely the report has creative ideas and criticism based on the IDTechEx PhD level, multilingual analysts worldwide and over 20 years of studying the subject and visiting the researchers, including having the proponents speak at IDTechEx events. Indeed, only IDTechEx can put it all in the context of what is happening and about to happen in relevant aspects like electric boats and land vehicles, printed and flexible electronics and battery chemistry generally.
 
Only IDTechEx has drill down reports on all these aspects including one specifically on eVTOL aircraft. We reveal how premature deployment of one technology will probably result in a serious accident and how the phasing of commercial success with the various airframes and powertrains will be very different over the coming twenty years. We find that the balance of investment does not reflect the relative market opportunities and it is not fully acknowledged how some options are far safer than others for a variety of reasons. Benchmarking best practice reveals many opportunities to improve cost, safety, multifunctionality and even provide get-you-home features when ground support is unavailable. Some identified projects are guaranteed to fail. Some have far greater potential than investors realise.
 
The Executive Summary and Conclusions is full of new infograms, roadmaps and forecasts, easily grasped. It explains zero-emission aircraft in general aviation/ aerial work GA/AW and in commercial aviation. See how both business sectors involve vertical takeoff and landing eVTOL aircraft and conventional fixed-wing conventional takeoff and landing eCTOL. Both involve air taxis travelling in and between smart cities, freight and other missions. eVTOL multicopters are compared with vectored thrust. We calculate the viability of eVTOL for inside cities and for city-to-city travel showing what will succeed in genuinely saving time and cost against what alternatives will be available on and underground when they deploy.
 
Newly important energy harvesting options are compared by type of aircraft. See six roadmaps from IDTechEx and the giants and 12 IDTechEx forecasts 2021-2041 (numbers, unit value, market value and forecasts by geographic area, aircraft size and powertrain type). Here is the IDTechEx forecast of general aviation 2021-2041, calculating pent-up demand for small fixed-wing aircraft based on historic graphs. Here is analysis of 100 projects in range vs climb and maximum takeoff weight vs range revealing what hybrids achieve vs battery-only and eVTOL performance.
 
Chapter 2 Introduction introduces emissions, certification, regulation, electrification of large aircraft called More Electric Aircraft MEA and battery vs hybrid aircraft. It explains planned 100 seat regional aircraft on batteries alone and long-distance fuel-cell options. See 2021-2041 infograms on "Radical advances in electric thrust" and "Achieving cost parity with conventional aircraft". Work at the giants GE, Honeywell, Raytheon, Rolls Royce and SAFRAN is summarized and the electric uniques of "distributed thrust" and solar airframes are explained, both now becoming extremely important for improving performance, cost and safety. Different eVTOL architectures are compared with helicopters.
 
Chapter 3 is exceptionally long and detailed. It appraises 43 battery-electric fixed-wing aircraft projects revealing technical excellence and mistakes, new technology options such as harnessing superconductivity, wind turbulence and sun, amphibious or achieving 300mph speed. Chapter 4 more briefly does the same for eVTOL. Chapter 6 reveals the opportunity and challenge for fuel cell aircraft fixed wing and eVTOL, showing latest progress and business cases, good compared to bad. Chapter 6 is on hybrid electric aircraft, mainly fixed-wing including imaginative forms for special tasks. Chapters 7,8,9 and 10 cover more detail on eVTOL technology options and business cases because these have the biggest investment and risk yet the least understanding.
 
The report ends with enabling technologies for all electric aircraft - Chapter 11 Batteries, Chapter 12 Motors and Chapter 13 Solar.
 
Questions answered include:
  • World's first detailed forecasts for all electric aircraft 2021-2041?
  • Independent new roadmaps compared to those from proponents to 2041?
  • Critical analysis of technologies and designs?
  • Benchmarking against best practice in aerospace and elsewhere?
  • How is the investment poorly matched against the relative opportunities?
  • How can safety, cost and performance be greatly improved?
  • What are the dead ends?
  • Which companies are good bad or indifferent?
  • What are the lessons from other industries that are further ahead in some respects?
  • What is the research pipeline?


ページTOPに戻る


目次

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1. Purpose of this report
1.2. Key conclusions
1.3. Comparison of zero-emission air taxis and regional aircraft technologies selling 2021-2041
1.4. The solar option
1.5. Energy independent smart cities and their eCTOL and eVTOL manned aircraft
1.6. eVTOL in detail
1.6.1. What is an eVTOL aircraft?
1.6.2. eVTOL Architectures
1.6.3. Why eVTOL Aircraft?
1.6.4. eVTOL getting off the ground
1.6.5. Conclusions on air taxi time saving
1.6.6. Huge companies investing in eVTOL
1.6.7. Other start-ups attracting large funding
1.6.8. When will the first eVTOL air taxis launch?
1.6.9. eVTOL as urban mass mobility?
1.6.10. Where is eVTOL air taxi advantage?
1.6.11. Value of autonomous eVTOL flight
1.7. Battery requirements and improvement
1.8. Li-ion Chemistry Snapshot: 2020, 2025, 2030
1.9. Motor / powertrain requirements
1.10. Composite material requirements
1.11. Infrastructure requirements
1.12. Electric aircraft roadmaps
1.12.1. IDTechEx detailed manned electric aircraft roadmap 2021-2041
1.12.2. Boeing and NASA electric aircraft roadmaps to 2050
1.12.3. Airbus and United Technologies "More Electric Aircraft MEA roadmap to 2040
1.12.4. Safran electric aircraft roadmap to 2050
1.12.5. Siemens electric aircraft roadmap to 2050
1.13. IDTechEx projected range and climb
1.14. IDTechEx MTOW vs range projection
1.15. Market forecasts 2021-2041
1.15.1. General aviation global sales units 2021-2041
1.15.2. General aviation global value market 2021-2041
1.15.3. Fixed-wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft under 20PAX number 2021-2041
1.15.4. Fixed-wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft under 20PAX unit price 2021-2041
1.15.5. Fixed-wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft under 20PAX $bn value market 2021-2041
1.15.6. Fixed wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft 20-100PAX global number 2021-2041
1.15.7. Fixed wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft 20-100PAX global unit value 2021-2041
1.15.8. Fixed wing CTOL zero emission aircraft 20-100PAX value market 2021-2041
1.15.9. eVTOL Forecast Summary
1.15.10. eVTOL air taxi sales forecast units 2018-2041
1.15.11. eVTOL air taxi market revenue forecast $ billion 2018-2041
1.15.12. Regional share of zero emission aircraft sales value market 2021-2041
1.16. Historical statistics
1.16.1. GAMA General Aviation aircraft sales and market Size
1.16.2. GAMA data for General Aviation global market
1.16.3. Bye Aerospace appraisal of pent-up general aviation demand
1.16.4. Top 5 General Aviation OEMs By Airplane Type
1.16.5. EASA eVTOL market value estimates 2035
1.16.6. Worldwide helicopter fleet
1.16.7. GAMA General Aviation helicopter sales
1.16.8. Helicopter OEMs
2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Bumble Bees and Electric Aircraft Cannot Fly
2.2. Large single aisle aircraft offer the largest emission gains
2.3. Coming from both ends - small pure electric PEV (BEV) and large more-electric MEA
2.4. Run before you can walk?
2.5. Powertrain options
2.6. Radical advances in electric thrust 2021-2041
2.7. Achieving cost parity - small comes first
2.8. Regulation, legislation, certification
2.9. Involvement of top aerospace manufacturers
2.10. Top 5 aerospace system suppliers by revenue
2.10.1. General Electric USA
2.10.2. Honeywell
2.10.3. Rolls-Royce UK
2.10.4. Raytheon Technologies Corp. USA
2.10.5. SAFRAN France
2.11. Distributed Electric Propulsion
2.12. The Dream of Urban Air Mobility
2.13. Advanced Air Mobility
2.14. eVTOL Applications
2.15. Beating current general aviation aircraft
2.16. Why helicopters are poor for UAM
2.17. Range and Endurance Limitations of eVTOL
2.18. What is making eVTOL possible?
2.19. eVTOL Start-Up Investment
2.20. Materials and energy harvesting integration
2.20.1. Key Challenges for Composites
2.20.2. Energy harvesting options for aircraft: widening choice
2.21. Retrofit
2.22. Infrastructure and transport integration
3. BATTERY ELECTRIC FIXED WING AIRCRAFT
3.1. Overview
3.2. Bye Aerospace USA
3.3. Airbus Europe
3.4. Ampaire Tailwind USA
3.5. Aura Aero France
3.6. Equator Aircraft Norway
3.7. Eviation Aircraft Israel
3.8. Flying Ship Company USA
3.9. Fly Nano Finland
3.10. H55 Switzerland
3.11. Heart Aerospace Sweden
3.12. Luminati Aerospace USA
3.13. NASA
3.13.1. Requirement study
3.13.2. Distributed thrust: X57 Maxwell
3.13.3. Cryogenic hydrogen fuel cell
3.14. PC-Aero / Elektra Solar/ SolarStratos Germany Switzerland
3.15. Pipistrel Slovenia
3.16. Raytheon United Technologies X-Plane USA
3.17. RDC Aqualines Russia
3.18. Regent USA
3.19.

 

ページTOPに戻る


 

Summary

この調査レポートは、20年先の電動航空機を予測し、100人乗りまでの航空機とそれに相当する貨物機を対象とし、2050年に向けて大型機の電動化がどのように収束していくかに触れています。
 
主な掲載内容(目次より抜粋)
  1. 全体概要および結論
  2. はじめに
  3. バッテリー電気固定翼機
  4. バッテリー電気EVTOL航空機
  5. 燃料電池電気航空機
Report Details
This report is the first to forecast electric aircraft for 20 years ahead, while reflecting the realities of how the huge new $30 billion market that is identified will be structured. Primarily, it covers aircraft up to 100 passengers and equivalent freighters, touching on how electrification of larger aircraft converges with these to 2050. For example, 2041 will see about half of the zero-emission aircraft market value being in fixed-wing conventional takeoff and landing eCTOL and half in eVTOL but both involving General Aviation and Commercial applications. At the heavier end, fuel cell and hybrid powertrains have a place and that is reflected in the coverage of the report.
 
About one third of the report is dedicated to the technology and two thirds to the projects and aircraft. Because they are key 2021-2041, particular attention is given to batteries, motors, solar and VTOL aerodynamics in the technology sections. However, you can also learn powertrains including voltage trends benchmarked against minigrids and cars. The approach is to reveal commercial opportunities and benefits to society including the new smart cities. The opportunities include those for materials, devices and systems. It is not academic. It is not historical beyond data to compare with forecasts.
 
Uniquely the report has creative ideas and criticism based on the IDTechEx PhD level, multilingual analysts worldwide and over 20 years of studying the subject and visiting the researchers, including having the proponents speak at IDTechEx events. Indeed, only IDTechEx can put it all in the context of what is happening and about to happen in relevant aspects like electric boats and land vehicles, printed and flexible electronics and battery chemistry generally.
 
Only IDTechEx has drill down reports on all these aspects including one specifically on eVTOL aircraft. We reveal how premature deployment of one technology will probably result in a serious accident and how the phasing of commercial success with the various airframes and powertrains will be very different over the coming twenty years. We find that the balance of investment does not reflect the relative market opportunities and it is not fully acknowledged how some options are far safer than others for a variety of reasons. Benchmarking best practice reveals many opportunities to improve cost, safety, multifunctionality and even provide get-you-home features when ground support is unavailable. Some identified projects are guaranteed to fail. Some have far greater potential than investors realise.
 
The Executive Summary and Conclusions is full of new infograms, roadmaps and forecasts, easily grasped. It explains zero-emission aircraft in general aviation/ aerial work GA/AW and in commercial aviation. See how both business sectors involve vertical takeoff and landing eVTOL aircraft and conventional fixed-wing conventional takeoff and landing eCTOL. Both involve air taxis travelling in and between smart cities, freight and other missions. eVTOL multicopters are compared with vectored thrust. We calculate the viability of eVTOL for inside cities and for city-to-city travel showing what will succeed in genuinely saving time and cost against what alternatives will be available on and underground when they deploy.
 
Newly important energy harvesting options are compared by type of aircraft. See six roadmaps from IDTechEx and the giants and 12 IDTechEx forecasts 2021-2041 (numbers, unit value, market value and forecasts by geographic area, aircraft size and powertrain type). Here is the IDTechEx forecast of general aviation 2021-2041, calculating pent-up demand for small fixed-wing aircraft based on historic graphs. Here is analysis of 100 projects in range vs climb and maximum takeoff weight vs range revealing what hybrids achieve vs battery-only and eVTOL performance.
 
Chapter 2 Introduction introduces emissions, certification, regulation, electrification of large aircraft called More Electric Aircraft MEA and battery vs hybrid aircraft. It explains planned 100 seat regional aircraft on batteries alone and long-distance fuel-cell options. See 2021-2041 infograms on "Radical advances in electric thrust" and "Achieving cost parity with conventional aircraft". Work at the giants GE, Honeywell, Raytheon, Rolls Royce and SAFRAN is summarized and the electric uniques of "distributed thrust" and solar airframes are explained, both now becoming extremely important for improving performance, cost and safety. Different eVTOL architectures are compared with helicopters.
 
Chapter 3 is exceptionally long and detailed. It appraises 43 battery-electric fixed-wing aircraft projects revealing technical excellence and mistakes, new technology options such as harnessing superconductivity, wind turbulence and sun, amphibious or achieving 300mph speed. Chapter 4 more briefly does the same for eVTOL. Chapter 6 reveals the opportunity and challenge for fuel cell aircraft fixed wing and eVTOL, showing latest progress and business cases, good compared to bad. Chapter 6 is on hybrid electric aircraft, mainly fixed-wing including imaginative forms for special tasks. Chapters 7,8,9 and 10 cover more detail on eVTOL technology options and business cases because these have the biggest investment and risk yet the least understanding.
 
The report ends with enabling technologies for all electric aircraft - Chapter 11 Batteries, Chapter 12 Motors and Chapter 13 Solar.
 
Questions answered include:
  • World's first detailed forecasts for all electric aircraft 2021-2041?
  • Independent new roadmaps compared to those from proponents to 2041?
  • Critical analysis of technologies and designs?
  • Benchmarking against best practice in aerospace and elsewhere?
  • How is the investment poorly matched against the relative opportunities?
  • How can safety, cost and performance be greatly improved?
  • What are the dead ends?
  • Which companies are good bad or indifferent?
  • What are the lessons from other industries that are further ahead in some respects?
  • What is the research pipeline?


ページTOPに戻る


Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1. Purpose of this report
1.2. Key conclusions
1.3. Comparison of zero-emission air taxis and regional aircraft technologies selling 2021-2041
1.4. The solar option
1.5. Energy independent smart cities and their eCTOL and eVTOL manned aircraft
1.6. eVTOL in detail
1.6.1. What is an eVTOL aircraft?
1.6.2. eVTOL Architectures
1.6.3. Why eVTOL Aircraft?
1.6.4. eVTOL getting off the ground
1.6.5. Conclusions on air taxi time saving
1.6.6. Huge companies investing in eVTOL
1.6.7. Other start-ups attracting large funding
1.6.8. When will the first eVTOL air taxis launch?
1.6.9. eVTOL as urban mass mobility?
1.6.10. Where is eVTOL air taxi advantage?
1.6.11. Value of autonomous eVTOL flight
1.7. Battery requirements and improvement
1.8. Li-ion Chemistry Snapshot: 2020, 2025, 2030
1.9. Motor / powertrain requirements
1.10. Composite material requirements
1.11. Infrastructure requirements
1.12. Electric aircraft roadmaps
1.12.1. IDTechEx detailed manned electric aircraft roadmap 2021-2041
1.12.2. Boeing and NASA electric aircraft roadmaps to 2050
1.12.3. Airbus and United Technologies "More Electric Aircraft MEA roadmap to 2040
1.12.4. Safran electric aircraft roadmap to 2050
1.12.5. Siemens electric aircraft roadmap to 2050
1.13. IDTechEx projected range and climb
1.14. IDTechEx MTOW vs range projection
1.15. Market forecasts 2021-2041
1.15.1. General aviation global sales units 2021-2041
1.15.2. General aviation global value market 2021-2041
1.15.3. Fixed-wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft under 20PAX number 2021-2041
1.15.4. Fixed-wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft under 20PAX unit price 2021-2041
1.15.5. Fixed-wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft under 20PAX $bn value market 2021-2041
1.15.6. Fixed wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft 20-100PAX global number 2021-2041
1.15.7. Fixed wing CTOL zero-emission aircraft 20-100PAX global unit value 2021-2041
1.15.8. Fixed wing CTOL zero emission aircraft 20-100PAX value market 2021-2041
1.15.9. eVTOL Forecast Summary
1.15.10. eVTOL air taxi sales forecast units 2018-2041
1.15.11. eVTOL air taxi market revenue forecast $ billion 2018-2041
1.15.12. Regional share of zero emission aircraft sales value market 2021-2041
1.16. Historical statistics
1.16.1. GAMA General Aviation aircraft sales and market Size
1.16.2. GAMA data for General Aviation global market
1.16.3. Bye Aerospace appraisal of pent-up general aviation demand
1.16.4. Top 5 General Aviation OEMs By Airplane Type
1.16.5. EASA eVTOL market value estimates 2035
1.16.6. Worldwide helicopter fleet
1.16.7. GAMA General Aviation helicopter sales
1.16.8. Helicopter OEMs
2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Bumble Bees and Electric Aircraft Cannot Fly
2.2. Large single aisle aircraft offer the largest emission gains
2.3. Coming from both ends - small pure electric PEV (BEV) and large more-electric MEA
2.4. Run before you can walk?
2.5. Powertrain options
2.6. Radical advances in electric thrust 2021-2041
2.7. Achieving cost parity - small comes first
2.8. Regulation, legislation, certification
2.9. Involvement of top aerospace manufacturers
2.10. Top 5 aerospace system suppliers by revenue
2.10.1. General Electric USA
2.10.2. Honeywell
2.10.3. Rolls-Royce UK
2.10.4. Raytheon Technologies Corp. USA
2.10.5. SAFRAN France
2.11. Distributed Electric Propulsion
2.12. The Dream of Urban Air Mobility
2.13. Advanced Air Mobility
2.14. eVTOL Applications
2.15. Beating current general aviation aircraft
2.16. Why helicopters are poor for UAM
2.17. Range and Endurance Limitations of eVTOL
2.18. What is making eVTOL possible?
2.19. eVTOL Start-Up Investment
2.20. Materials and energy harvesting integration
2.20.1. Key Challenges for Composites
2.20.2. Energy harvesting options for aircraft: widening choice
2.21. Retrofit
2.22. Infrastructure and transport integration
3. BATTERY ELECTRIC FIXED WING AIRCRAFT
3.1. Overview
3.2. Bye Aerospace USA
3.3. Airbus Europe
3.4. Ampaire Tailwind USA
3.5. Aura Aero France
3.6. Equator Aircraft Norway
3.7. Eviation Aircraft Israel
3.8. Flying Ship Company USA
3.9. Fly Nano Finland
3.10. H55 Switzerland
3.11. Heart Aerospace Sweden
3.12. Luminati Aerospace USA
3.13. NASA
3.13.1. Requirement study
3.13.2. Distributed thrust: X57 Maxwell
3.13.3. Cryogenic hydrogen fuel cell
3.14. PC-Aero / Elektra Solar/ SolarStratos Germany Switzerland
3.15. Pipistrel Slovenia
3.16. Raytheon United Technologies X-Plane USA
3.17. RDC Aqualines Russia
3.18. Regent USA
3.19.

 

ページTOPに戻る

ご注文は、お電話またはWEBから承ります。お見積もりの作成もお気軽にご相談ください。

webからのご注文・お問合せはこちらのフォームから承ります


よくあるご質問


IDTechEx社はどのような調査会社ですか?


IDTechExはセンサ技術や3D印刷、電気自動車などの先端技術・材料市場を対象に広範かつ詳細な調査を行っています。データリソースはIDTechExの調査レポートおよび委託調査(個別調査)を取り扱う日... もっと見る


調査レポートの納品までの日数はどの程度ですか?


在庫のあるものは速納となりますが、平均的には 3-4日と見て下さい。
但し、一部の調査レポートでは、発注を受けた段階で内容更新をして納品をする場合もあります。
発注をする前のお問合せをお願いします。


注文の手続きはどのようになっていますか?


1)お客様からの御問い合わせをいただきます。
2)見積書やサンプルの提示をいたします。
3)お客様指定、もしくは弊社の発注書をメール添付にて発送してください。
4)データリソース社からレポート発行元の調査会社へ納品手配します。
5) 調査会社からお客様へ納品されます。最近は、pdfにてのメール納品が大半です。


お支払方法の方法はどのようになっていますか?


納品と同時にデータリソース社よりお客様へ請求書(必要に応じて納品書も)を発送いたします。
お客様よりデータリソース社へ(通常は円払い)の御振り込みをお願いします。
請求書は、納品日の日付で発行しますので、翌月最終営業日までの当社指定口座への振込みをお願いします。振込み手数料は御社負担にてお願いします。
お客様の御支払い条件が60日以上の場合は御相談ください。
尚、初めてのお取引先や個人の場合、前払いをお願いすることもあります。ご了承のほど、お願いします。


データリソース社はどのような会社ですか?


当社は、世界各国の主要調査会社・レポート出版社と提携し、世界各国の市場調査レポートや技術動向レポートなどを日本国内の企業・公官庁及び教育研究機関に提供しております。
世界各国の「市場・技術・法規制などの」実情を調査・収集される時には、データリソース社にご相談ください。
お客様の御要望にあったデータや情報を抽出する為のレポート紹介や調査のアドバイスも致します。



詳細検索

このレポートへのお問合せ

03-3582-2531

電話お問合せもお気軽に

 

2024/07/03 10:27

162.61 円

175.23 円

209.12 円

ページTOPに戻る