Summary

According to PayNXT360, BNPL payments in the country are expected to grow by 16.8% on an annual basis to reach US$1,078.7 million in 2024.

The medium to long-term growth story of the BNPL industry in the country remains strong. BNPL payment adoption is expected to grow steadily over the forecast period, recording a CAGR of 10.6% during 2024-2029. The BNPL gross merchandise value in the country will increase from US$923.7 million in 2023 to reach US$1,782.0 million by 2029.

The BNPL payment industry in South Africa has recorded strong growth over the last four quarters, supported by increased e-commerce penetration.

This report provides a detailed data-centric analysis of the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) industry, covering market opportunities and risks across a range of retail categories. With over 75 KPIs at the country level, this report provides a comprehensive understanding of BNPL market dynamics, market size and forecast, and market share statistics.

It breaks down market opportunities by type of business model, sales channels (offline and online), and distribution models. In addition, it provides a snapshot of consumer behaviour and retail spending dynamics. KPIs in both value and volume terms help in getting an in-depth understanding of end market dynamics.

PayNXT360’s research methodology is based on industry best practices. Its unbiased analysis leverages a proprietary analytics platform to offer a detailed view of emerging business and investment market opportunities.


• Get a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics for Buy Now Pay Later: Identify market opportunities, major trends, and forecasting (2020-2029). Understand market trends through crucial KPIs like Gross Merchandise Value, Volume, and Average Value per Transaction, to stay ahead of the curve.

• Insights by end-use sectors: Evaluate new opportunities across multiple end-use sectors, and obtain market dynamics by end-use sectors in order to swiftly catch up with the latest and upcoming developments in BNPL markets.

• Market-specific strategies: Identify growth segments focused on specific opportunities, and analysing market-specific risks and important trends in the BNPL sector with our exclusive blend of quantitative forecasting and innovative insights.

• Gain knowledge of consumer attitudes and actions: This report identifies and interprets important Buy Now Pay Later KPIs, such as spend by age, gender, and income level, using data from a proprietary survey.

• Develop proactive and lucrative business strategies through market intelligence and forward-looking analysis of BNPL market spend and major opportunities in South Africa.

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Table of Contents

1 About this Report
1.1 Summary
1.2 Methodology
1.3 BNPL Definitions
1.4 Disclaimer

2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Industry Attractiveness
2.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
2.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
2.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later—Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
2.4 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Market Share Analysis by Key Players

3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Operational KPIs
3.1 Buy Now Pay Later Revenues, 2020-2029
3.2 Buy Now Pay Later Share by Revenue Segments, 2020-2029
3.2.1 Buy Now Pay Later Revenue by Merchant Commission, 2020-2029
3.2.2 Buy Now Pay Later Revenue by Missed Payment Fee Revenue, 2020-2029
3.2.3 Buy Now Pay Later Revenue by Pay Now & Other Income, 2020-2029
3.3 Buy Now Pay Later Active Consumer Base, 2020-2029
3.4 Buy Now Pay Later Bad Debt, 2020 – 2024 – 2029

4 Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Business Model, 2020-2029
4.1 Buy Now Pay Later Two-Party Business Model, 2020-2029
4.2 Buy Now Pay Later Three-Party Business Model, 2020-2029

5 Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Purpose, 2020-2029
5.1 Buy Now Pay Later Convenience, 2020-2029
5.2 Buy Now Pay Later Credit, 2020-2029

6 Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Functional Attribute, 2020-2029
6.1 Buy Now Pay Later by Open Loop System, 2020-2029
6.2 Buy Now Pay Later by Closed Loop System, 2020-2029

7 Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Distribution Model, 2020-2029
7.1 Buy Now Pay Later by Standalone, 2020-2029
7.2 Buy Now Pay Later by Banks & Payment Service Providers, 2020-2029
7.3 Buy Now Pay Later by Marketplaces, 2020-2029

8 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Sales Channel
8.1 Buy Now Pay Later Market Share by Sales Channel, 2020-2029
8.2 Buy Now Pay Later Online Channel Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
8.3 Buy Now Pay Later POS Channel Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029

9 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Snapshot by End-Use Sector, 2020-2029
9.1 Buy Now Pay Later Market Share by End-Use Sector, 2023
9.2 Buy Now Pay Later Sales Uplift by End-Use Segment, 2023

10 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later in Retail Shopping: Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
10.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
10.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
10.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

11 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Market Size and Forecast by Retail Product Categories
11.1 Buy Now Pay Later Share by Retail Product Category, 2023
11.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Apparel, Footwear & Accessories – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
11.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Consumer Electronics – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
11.5 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Toys, Kids, and Babies – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
11.6 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Jewellery – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
11.7 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Sporting Goods – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
11.8 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Entertainment & Gaming – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
11.9 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Others – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

12 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later in Home Improvement: Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
12.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Home Improvement – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
12.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Home Improvement – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
12.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Home Improvement – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

13 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later in Travel: Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
13.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Travel – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
13.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Travel – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
13.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Travel – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

14 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later in Media and Entertainment: Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
14.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Media and Entertainment – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
14.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Media and Entertainment – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
14.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Media and Entertainment – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

15 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later in Service: Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
15.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Service – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
15.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Service – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
15.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Service – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

16 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later in Automotive: Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
16.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Automotive – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
16.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Automotive – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
16.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Automotive – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

17 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later in Healthcare and Wellness: Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
17.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Healthcare and Wellness – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
17.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Healthcare and Wellness – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
17.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Healthcare and Wellness – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

18 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later in Others: Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2029
18.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Others – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
18.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Others – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
18.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Others – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis, 2020-2029

19 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Analysis by Consumer Attitude and Behaviour, 2020-2029
19.1 Buy Now Pay Later Spend Share by Age Group, 2023
19.1.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Age Group – Gen Z (15-27) – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
19.1.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Age Group – Millennials (28–44) – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
19.1.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Age Group – Gen X (45 – 60) – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
19.1.4 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Age Group – Baby Boomers (60+) – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
19.2 Buy Now Pay Later Spend Share by Default Rate by Age Group, 2023
19.3 Buy Now Pay Later Share by Income, 2023
19.3.1 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Income Level – Tier 1 – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
19.3.2 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Income Level – Tier 2 – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
19.3.3 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Income Level – Tier 3 – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis, 2020-2029
19.4 Buy Now Pay Later Gross Merchandise Value Share by Gender, 2023
19.5 Buy Now Pay Later Adoption Rationale, 2023
19.6 South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Market – Spend by Average Monthly Expense Segments, 2023

20 Further Reading
20.1 About PayNXT360
20.2 Related Research

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List of Tables/Graphs

Table 1: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 2: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 3: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 4: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Revenues (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 5: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Merchant Commission (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 6: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Missed Payment Fee Revenue (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 7: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Pay Now – Other Income (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 8: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Active Consumer Base (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 9: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Bad Debt (US$ Million), 2022-2024-2029
Table 10: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Two-Party Business Model (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 11: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Three-Party Business Model (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 12: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Convenience (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 13: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Credit (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 14: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Open Loop System (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 15: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Closed Loop System (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 16: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Standalone (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 17: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Banks & Payment Service Providers (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 18: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Marketplaces (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 19: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Gross Merchandise Value by Online Channel (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 20: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later – Gross Merchandise Value by POS Channel (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 21: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 22: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 23: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 24: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Apparel, Footwear & Accessories – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 25: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Consumer Electronics – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 26: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Toys, Kids, and Babies – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 27: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Jewellery – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 28: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Sporting Goods – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 29: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Entertainment & Gaming – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 30: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping - Others – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 31: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Home Improvement – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 32: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Home Improvement – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 33: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Retail Shopping Home Improvement – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 34: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Travel – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 35: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Travel – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 36: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Travel – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 37: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Media and Entertainment – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 38: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Media and Entertainment – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 39: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Media and Entertainment – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 40: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Service – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 41: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Service– Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 42: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Service – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 43: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Automotive – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 44: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Automotive – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 45: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Automotive – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 46: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Healthcare and Wellness – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 47: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Healthcare and Wellness – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 48: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Healthcare and Wellness – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 49: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Others – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 50: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Others – Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis (US$), 2020-2029
Table 51: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later Others – Transaction Volume Trend Analysis (Thousand), 2020-2029
Table 52: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Age Group – Gen Z (15-27) – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 53: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Age Group – Millennials (28–44) – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 54: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Age Group – Gen X (45 – 60) – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 55: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Age Group – Baby Boomers (60+) – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 56: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Income Level – Tier 1 – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 57: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Income Level – Tier 2 – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029
Table 58: South Africa Buy Now Pay Later by Income Level – Tier 3 – Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2020-2029