チップ増設がヨーロッパのウェットケミカルサプライチェーンに与える影響The Impact Of Chip Expansions On The Europe Wet Chemical Supply Chain この調査レポートはチップ拡張がヨーロッパのウェットケミカルサプライチェーンに与える影響を調査しています。 - HCl、H2SO4、HF、NH4OH、IPAの欧州化学需要対供給に関する情報(数量、輸入動向と依... もっと見る
サマリーこの調査レポートはチップ拡張がヨーロッパのウェットケミカルサプライチェーンに与える影響を調査しています。
主な内容(目次より抜粋)
目次
1 エグゼクティブサマリー 14
5 予想される市場の調整 91
図 31: Hcl (L)の需給動向 71 プレスリリース
欧州のファブ拡張が材料サプライチェーンに影響 Samsung FoundryとTSMCは、最近ヨーロッパでの工場拡張を発表した企業の一例で、これは、Intelが今年初めにドイツに工場を建設すると発表した事に連なる事例である。一連の動きから、これらの施設に対する化学物質や材料の安定供給の必要性が浮き彫りになっている。 更に現在、エネルギーコストの上昇と経済活動の低下、という短期的な問題が欧州の半導体産業に影響を与えているため、今後の成長と製造への投資は、同地域における化学物質と材料の潜在的な供給問題に対処する必要がある。
TECHCETの分析レポート「チップ増設がヨーロッパのウェットケミカルサプライチェーンに与える影響」にあるように、欧州の工場拡張には化学サプライヤーからの追加投資が必要であり、さもなければ半導体製造業者は主要化学物質の代替供給源を探す準備をしなければならない。この報告書の中でTECHCETは、欧州の主要な半導体製造会社が確認した供給中断のリスクが最も高いのは6種類の化学物質であると述べている。これらの化学薬品は、塩酸(HCl液体およびガス)、硫酸(H2SO4)、フッ化水素酸(HF)、水酸化アンモニア(NH4OH)、イソプロピルアルコール(IPA)である。
Summary• Provides focused information on the Europe chemical demand vs. supply for HCl, H2SO4, HF, NH4OH, and IPA including volumes, import trends and dependencies, wafer start demand, information of leading European chip fabricators, new fab projects, and criteria for new chemical manufacturing investments. • Who should get this report? Business Development Managers, Supply-Chain Managers, Financial Investment/Advisors, Policy Makers, anyone interested in understanding the dynamic of the Europe Semiconductor Supply-Chains that support chip manufacturing.
Table of Contents1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 14 1.1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 OF 7 15 1.2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2 OF 7 16 1.3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3 OF 7 17 1.4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4 OF 7 18 1.5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5 OF 7 19 1.6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6 OF 7 20 1.7 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7 OF 7 21 2 THE CURRENT STATE OF AFFAIRS 22 2.1 SHRINKING DOMESTIC EUROPEAN MANUFACTURING SHARE 23 2.2 EUROPEAN CHIPS ACT 24 2.3 MATERIAL MARKETS 25 2.4 EUROPE WAFER START GROWTH BY DEVICE TYPE 26 2.5 EUROPE INSTALLED FAB CAPACITY BY COMPANY 27 2.5.1 KEY COMPANIES EXPANDING FAB CAPACITY 28 2.6 COMPLEX AND SOMETIMES OVERLAPPING SUPPLY-CHAIN 29 2.7 SUPPLIER RANKING & OFFERING 30 2.8 CURRENT CHEMICAL MANUFACTURERS-GENERAL COMMENTS 31 2.9 CHEMICAL MARKET PERSPECTIVE 32 2.9.1 COMMERCIAL CHEMICAL APPLICATIONS AND END MARKETS 33 2.10 COVID19 IMPACT 34 3 EUROPEAN CHIPS ACT AND FAB EXPANSIONS 35 3.1 EUROPEAN CHIPS ACT 36 3.1.1 EUROPEAN CHIPS ACT CONTINUED 37 3.1.2 EUROPEAN CHIPS ACT CONTINUED 38 3.1.3 INITIAL OBSERVATIONS ON THE EUROPEAN CHIPS ACT 39 3.1.4 INITIAL OBSERVATIONS ON THE EUROPEAN CHIPS ACT CONT. 40 3.2 EUROPE FAB EXPANSION INVESTMENT 41 3.3 EUROPE FAB CAPACITY EXPANSION BY NODE 42 3.3.1 FAB CAPACITY IN EUROPE BY DIAMETER 43 3.3.2 FAB CAPACITY EXPANSIONS IN EUROPE 44 3.3.3 OTHER EUROPE FAB EXPANSION NEWS 45 3.3.4 OVERALL FAB CAPACITY GROWTH 46 3.3.5 2027 FAB CAPACITY BY WAFER DIAMETER 47 3.3.6 FAB CAPACITY GROWTH BY NODE SHARE 48 3.3.6.1 2027 FAB CAPACITY BY NODE 49 3.3.7 FAB CAPACITY GROWTH SCENARIOS 50 3.4 FAB INVESTMENT ASSESSMENT 51 3.4.1 CHIP EXPANSION AND CHEMICAL DEMAND 53 4 MATERIAL SUPPLY, DEMAND & SHORTFALLS 54 4.1 DEFINITIONS OF THE TERMS USED THROUGHOUT THIS REPORT (ESPECIALLY HERE) 55 4.2 FAB EXPANSIONS WILL INCREASE DEMAND FOR CHEMICAL 56 4.2.1 CHEMICAL DEMAND UPSURGE- CMC SURVEY 57 4.2.2 2021 CHEMICAL SURVEY DEMAND BY SOURCE 58 4.3 CHEMICAL DEMAND GROWTH IN EUROPE 59 4.4 FORECASTED DEMAND OUTLOOK 60 4.4.1 SUMMARY OF PROJECTED DEMAND GROWTH BY WET CHEMICAL TYPE 61 4.4.2 SUMMARY OF IMPORTED SUPPLY TO SUPPORT EUROPE DEMAND 62 4.4.3 CAPACITY SHORTFALLS EXPECTED 63 4.5 WET CHEMICALS SUPPLY-DEMAND FORECASTS 64 4.5.1 HCL (G)– EUROPE DEMAND 65 4.5.1.1 2021 HCL (G) SUPPLY BY SOURCE 66 4.5.1.2 HCL (GAS) – SUPPLY V. DEMAND 67 4.5.1.3 EUROPE SUPPLY-CHAIN – HCL (GAS) 68 4.5.2 HCL (L)– EUROPE DEMAND 69 4.5.2.1 2021 HCL (L) SUPPLY BY SOURCE 70 4.5.2.2 HCL (L) – EUROPE SUPPLY V. DEMAND 71 4.5.2.3 EUROPE SUPPLY-CHAIN – HCL (LIQUID) 72 4.5.3 SULFURIC ACID – EUROPE DEMAND 73 4.5.3.1 2021 H2SO4 SUPPLY BY SOURCE 74 4.5.3.2 H2SO4 – EUROPE SUPPLY V. DEMAND 75 4.5.3.3 EUROPE SUPPLY-CHAIN – H2SO4 76 4.5.4 HYDROFLUORIC ACID (L)– EUROPE DEMAND 77 4.5.4.1 2021 HF SUPPLY BY SOURCE 78 4.5.4.2 HF – EUROPE SUPPLY V. DEMAND 79 4.5.4.3 EUROPE SUPPLY-CHAIN – HF 80 4.5.5 SODIUM HYDROXIDE – EUROPE DEMAND & FORECAST 81 4.5.5.1 2021 NH4OH SUPPLY BY SOURCE 82 4.5.5.2 NH4OH – EUROPE SUPPLY V. DEMAND 83 4.5.5.3 EUROPE SUPPLY-CHAIN – NH4OH 84 4.5.6 IPA – EUROPE DEMAND & FORECAST 85 4.5.6.1 2021 IPA SUPPLY BY SOURCE 86 4.5.6.2 IPA – EUROPE SUPPLY V. DEMAND 87 4.5.6.3 EUROPE SUPPLY-CHAIN – IPA 88 4.6 KEY TIER 1, TIER 2, AND TIER 3 SUPPLIERS SUMMARY 89 4.7 GENERAL OBSERVATIONS ON THE SPECIFIC CHEMICAL SUPPLY 90 5 ANTICIPATED MARKET ADJUSTMENTS 91 5.1 ANTICIPATED MARKET ADJUSTMENTS 92 5.2 INTEL 93 5.3 TSMC 96 5.4 OTHER FAB INVESTMENTS IN EUROPE 99 6 OTHER CONSIDERATIONS - ENERGY & IMPORT CHALLENGES 100 6.1 ENERGY COST ISSUE 101 6.1.1 RISING ENERGY COSTS IMPACTS MANUFACTURERS 102 6.1.2 OTHER ENERGY RELATED OBSERVATIONS 103 6.2 A LIKELY GROWING DEPENDENCY ON IMPORTED PRODUCTS 104 6.2.1 DEPENDENCY ON IMPORTED PRODUCTS- CHINA 105 6.3 “TO IMPORT OR NOT TO IMPORT, THAT IS THE QUESTION” 106 6.4 AN ADDITIONAL BUT IMPORTANT CONSIDERATION 107 7 PACKAGING & PURITY 108 7.1 ULTRA HIGH PURITY DEMAND – A LIABILITY OR OPPORTUNITY 109 7.2 CHEMICAL PURITY TRENDS 110 7.3 PURITY AND CONTAINER REQUIREMENTS/ CMC SURVEY RESULTS 111 7.3.1 HCL (L) PURITY REQUIREMENT AND TRENDS 112 7.3.2 H2SO4 PURITY REQUIREMENT AND TRENDS 113 7.3.3 HF PURITY REQUIREMENT AND TRENDS 114 7.3.4 NH4OH PURITY REQUIREMENT AND TRENDS 115 7.3.5 IPA PURITY REQUIREMENT AND TRENDS 116 7.4 INCREASING PURITY REQUIREMENTS 117 7.5 SHIP TO CONTROL & EVOLVING REQUIREMENTS 118 7.6 EVOLVING PACKAGING REQUIREMENTS 119 7.6.1 HCL (G) SUPPLY BY SHIPPING CONTAINER TYPE 120 7.6.2 HCL (L) SUPPLY BY SHIPPING CONTAINER TYPE 121 7.6.3 H2SO4 SUPPLY BY SHIPPING CONTAINER TYPE 122 7.6.4 HYDROFLUORIC SUPPLY BY SHIPPING CONTAINER TYPE 123 7.6.5 NH4OH SUPPLY BY SHIPPING CONTAINER TYPE 124 7.6.6 IPA SUPPLY BY SHIPPING CONTAINER TYPE 125 8 WHAT SUPPLIERS NEED? INCREASING LOCAL MATERIAL CAPACITY 126 CHIP FABRICATORS PERSPECTIVE AND THE BURNING QUESTION… 127 EUROPEAN SUPPLIER PERSPECTIVE – DATA COLLECTION BASIS 128 COMMON THEMES AMONG SUPPLIERS 129 CONTRACT IDEAS PROPOSED BY SUPPLIERS 130 WHAT WOULD CONVINCE YOU TO BUILD NEW CHEMICAL PRODUCTION IN EUROPE? 131 ROLE FOR THE GOVERNMENT 132 SUPPLIERS CONCERNS AND NEEDS REGARDING GROWING LOCAL PRODUCTION, 1 OF 3 133 SUPPLIERS CONCERNS AND NEEDS REGARDING GROWING LOCAL PRODUCTION, 2 OF 3 134 SUPPLIERS CONCERNS AND NEEDS REGARDING GROWING LOCAL PRODUCTION, 3 OF 3 135 9 TECHCET’S ASSESSMENT OF RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES 136 10 APPENDIX: MANUFACTURING UHP CHEMICALS 141 FIGURES FIGURE 1: EUROPE SHARE OF GLOBAL INSTALLED FAB CAPACITY 15 FIGURE 2: INSTALLED FAB CAPACITY TRENDS IN EUROPE 16 FIGURE 3: CHEMICAL DEMAND TRENDS IN EUROPE 17 FIGURE 4: EUROPE SHARE OF GLOBAL INSTALLED FAB CAPACITY 23 FIGURE 5: 2021 SEMICONDUCTOR MATERIALS MARKET BY SEGMENT 25 FIGURE 6: EUROPE WAFER STARTS ESTIMATE BY DEVICES TYPE AND NODE, 2021-2027 (200MM EQUIV. WAFERS)* 26 FIGURE 7: 2021 EUROPE INSTALLED FAB CAPACITY SHARE 27 FIGURE 8: 2027 EUROPE INSTALLED FAB CAPACITY SHARE 27 FIGURE 9: KEY EUROPE CHIP FABRICATOR EXPANSIONS 2021 TO 2027 (200MM EQUIV. WAFERS) 28 FIGURE 10: A COMPLEX AND SOMETIMES OVERLAPPING SUPPLY-CHAIN EXAMPLE – IPA 29 FIGURE 11: HYDROFLUORIC ACID PRODUCTION EUROPE 30 FIGURE 12: EUROPE CHIP FAB INVESTMENT 2022-2027 US$61B*. 41 FIGURE 13: 2021 EUROPE FAB CAPACITY BY NODE 42 FIGURE 14: 2021 EUROPE FAB CAPACITY BY DIAMETER 43 FIGURE 15: INSTALLED FAB CAPACITY TRENDS IN EUROPE 46 FIGURE 16: 2027 EUROPE CAPACITY BY WAFER DIAMETER 47 FIGURE 17: 2021 EUROPE FAB CAPACITY BREAKOUT (25.6M 200 MM EQUIV.) 48 FIGURE 18: 2027 EUROPE FAB CAPACITY BREAKOUT (~36M 200 MM EQUIV.) 48 FIGURE 19: INSTALLED FAB CAPACITY TRENDS IN EUROPE 50 FIGURE 20: EUROPE FAB CAPACITY BY NODE 50 FIGURE 21: EUROPE WAFER START GROWTH BY DEVICE TYPE AND NODE 56 FIGURE 22: IMPACT OF EXPANSIONS ON EUROPEAN CHEMICAL DEMAND 57 FIGURE 23: 2021 SOURCING DOMESTIC VS. IMPORT SOURCING 58 FIGURE 24: CHEMICAL DEMAND IN EUROPE* 60 FIGURE 25: EUROPE HCL (G) SUPPLY DEMAND VOLUME 65 FIGURE 26: 2021 EUROPE HCL (G) SUPPLY SHARE 66 FIGURE 27: HCL SUPPLY VS. DEMAND TRENDS* 67 FIGURE 28: SUPPLY-CHAIN MAPPING FOR HCL(GAS) 68 FIGURE 29: EUROPE HCL (L) SUPPLY DEMAND VOLUME 69 FIGURE 30: 2021 EUROPE HCL (L) SUPPLY SHARE 70 FIGURE 31: HCL (L) SUPPLY VS. DEMAND TRENDS 71 FIGURE 32: SUPPLY-CHAIN MAPPING FOR HCL(LIQUID) 72 FIGURE 33: EUROPE H2SO4 SUPPLY DEMAND VOLUME 73 FIGURE 34: 2021 EUROPE H2SO4 SUPPLY SHARE 74 FIGURE 35: H2SO4 SUPPLY VS. DEMAND TRENDS 75 FIGURE 36: SUPPLY-CHAIN MAPPING FOR H2SO4 76 FIGURE 37: EUROPE HF SUPPLY DEMAND VOLUME 77 FIGURE 38: 2021 EUROPE HF SUPPLY SHARE 78 FIGURE 39: HF SUPPLY VS. DEMAND TRENDS 79 FIGURE 40: SUPPLY-CHAIN MAPPING FOR HF 80 FIGURE 41: EUROPE NH4OH DEMAND VOLUME 81 FIGURE 42: 2021 EUROPE NH4OH SUPPLY SHARE 82 FIGURE 43: NH4OH SUPPLY VS. DEMAND (MILLIONS KG) 83 FIGURE 44: SUPPLY-CHAIN MAPPING FOR NH4OH 84 FIGURE 45: EUROPE IPA DEMAND VOLUME 85 FIGURE 46: 2021 EUROPE IPA SUPPLY SHARE 86 FIGURE 47: IPA SUPPLY VS. DEMAND TRENDS 87 FIGURE 48: SUPPLY-CHAIN MAPPING FOR IPA 88 FIGURE 49: WHOLESALE AND RESALE ENERGY COSTS IN EUROPE ‘15-’21 101 FIGURE 50: INCREMENTAL NATURAL GAS SPEND 2021 VS. 2020 IN EUROPE 102 FIGURE 51: FREIGHT PRICE TRENDS SHOWING 7X INCREASE IN PRICE OVER 18 MONTHS. 104 FIGURE 52: TOP CONTAINER SHIP TRADE ROUTES 106 FIGURE 53: 2021 HCL (L) BY PURITY GRADE 112 FIGURE 54: 2021 HCL (L), >99.999% (5NS) GRADE DOMESTIC VS. IMPORT 112 FIGURE 55: 2021 H2SO4 BY PURITY GRADE 113 FIGURE 56: 2021 H2SO4, >5NS GRADE DOMESTIC VS. IMPORT 113 FIGURE 57: 2021 HF BY PURITY GRADE 114 FIGURE 58: 2021 HF >5NS GRADE DOMESTIC VS. IMPORT. 114 FIGURE 59: 2021 NH4OH BY PURITY GRADE 115 FIGURE 60: 2021 NH4OH >5NS GRADE DOMESTIC VS. IMPORT 115 FIGURE 61: 2021 IPA BY PURITY GRADE 116 FIGURE 62: 2021 IPA, >5NS GRADE DOMESTIC VS. IMPORT 116 FIGURE 63: SHIP TO CONTROL FOR PROCESS CHEMICALS EXAMPLE 118 FIGURE 64: 2021 HCL (G) BY CONTAINER TYPE 120 FIGURE 65: 2021 HCL (L) BY CONTAINER TYPE 121 FIGURE 66: 2025 HCL (L) BY CONTAINER TYPE 121 FIGURE 67: 2021 H2SO4 BY CONTAINER TYPE 122 FIGURE 68: 2025 H2SO4 BY CONTAINER TYPE 122 FIGURE 69: 2021 HF BY CONTAINER TYPE 123 FIGURE 70: 2021 NH4OH BY CONTAINER TYPE 124 FIGURE 71: 2025 NH4OH BY CONTAINER TYPE 124 FIGURE 72: 2021 IPA BY CONTAINER TYPE 125 FIGURE 73: 2025 IPA BY CONTAINER TYPE 125 TABLES TABLE 1: 2021 VS 2027 % IMPORTED SUPPLY REQUIRED 18 TABLE 2: EUROPE’S DOMESTIC TIER I LEADING SUPPLIERS 30 TABLE 3: KEY APPLICATIONS AND END USERS FOR BASIC CHEMICALS 33 TABLE 4: POSSIBLE FAB EXPANSIONS IN EUROPE 44 TABLE 5: POTENTIAL CAPACITY ADDITION BY NODE 49 TABLE 6: IMPORT SOURCE COUNTRIES 58 TABLE 7: WET CHEMICAL DEMAND GROWTH IN THE EUROPE 2027/2021 59 TABLE 8: 2021 – 2027 CHANGE IN VOLUMES REQUIRED FOR EUROPE CHIP PRODUCTION 61 TABLE 9: 2021 VS 2027 % IMPORTED SUPPLY REQUIRED 62 TABLE 10: CAPACITY SHORTFALLS EXPECTED 63 TABLE 11: SUMMARY OF KEY EUROPE’S TIER 1, TIER 2 AND TIER 3 SUPPLIERS* 89 TABLE 12: GENERAL OBSERVATIONS ON CHEMICAL SUPPLY 90 TABLE 13: SUMMARY OF INTEL FABS 94 TABLE 14: INTEL GERMANY FAB ASSUMPTIONS 95 TABLE 15: TSMC EUROPE FAB ASSUMPTIONS 98 TABLE 16: FAB EXPANSIONS FOR FOUR SEMICONDUCTOR COMPANIES 99 TABLE 17: SUPPLIER OBSERVATIONS CONCERNING ENERGY COSTS 103 TABLE 18: PURITY REQUIREMENTS 117 TABLE 19: EVOLVING PACKAGING REQUIREMENTS 119 TABLE 20: SUMMARY OF SUPPLIER CONCERNS ON LOCAL PRODUCTION 133
Press ReleaseFab Expansions in Europe Impact Materials Supply Chain
November 8, 2022
As noted in TECHCET’s Analysis Report on “The Impact of Chip Expansions on The Europe Wet Chemical Supply Chain”, fab expansions in Europe will require the support of additional chemical supplier investments otherwise semiconductor fabricators should prepare to look for alternative sources for key chemicals. In the report, TECHCET stated six chemicals were deemed to be at the highest risk of supply interruption, as confirmed by major Europe chip fabricators. These chemicals are hydrochloric acid (HCl liquid & gas), sulfuric acid (H2SO4), hydrofluoric acid (HF), ammonia hydroxide (NH4OH), and isopropyl alcohol (IPA).
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