Summary

Report Description

Distributed energy resources (DER) are rapidly expanding in commercial buildings. The costs of distributed assets are falling, and their effects on the grid and utility budgets are net-positive and improving consistently. Self-consumption as an end use remains a highly important business model for DER and is rapidly growing as an alternative to selling self-generated power to the grid.

The falling cost of these technologies and their associated management software is one of the main factors supporting adoption. Such is particularly the case for rooftop PV costs that are falling in conjunction with sunsetting feed-in-tariffs in many regions. This setup is incentivizing investment in behind-the-meter technologies that can consume a larger share of PV generation before reaching the grid, thereby retaining retail value.

This Guidehouse Insights report examines the global market for DER technologies in commercial buildings, including EV chargers, solar PV, and battery storage. The study analyzes market issues, such as drivers and barriers associated with the self-consumption business model. Global market forecasts for spending, segmented by technology, vertical, and region, extend through 2030.


KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED

    Why is self-consumption a key business model for DER deployments in commercial buildings?
    What are the main drivers of DER investment in commercial buildings?
    Which technologies are expected to capture most of the spending in the global DER self-consumption market?
    Which commercial building verticals are anticipated to offer the most growth between 2021 and 2030?
    How quickly is DER technology spending expected to grow in commercial buildings through 2030?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT

    Solar developers, installers, and operators
    Battery manufacturers
    EV manufacturers
    Grid operators
    Utilities
    Investor community

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Table of Contents

TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Executive Summary
1.1   Introduction
1.2   Market Forecast
2. Market Issues
2.1   Market and Technology Trends
2.1.1   Overview
2.1.2   Solar PV in Commercial Buildings
2.1.3   Battery Storage in Commercial Buildings
2.1.4   EV Charging in Commercial Buildings
2.2   Market Drivers and Barriers
2.2.1   Solar Deployment
2.2.2   Resilience
2.2.3   Load Management and Asset Aggregation Market Barriers
2.2.3.1   Regulation and the Cost of Electricity
2.2.3.2   NEM Innovations in Key Markets: California
2.2.3.3   Added Costs in Buildings Deployment
2.2.3.4   Technology Fragmentation
3. Market Forecast
3.1   Overview
3.1.1   Distributed Solar PV
3.1.2   Distributed Battery Storage
3.1.3   EV Charging
3.2   Methodology
3.3   Market Forecasts
3.3.1   Buildings DER Spending by Region
3.3.2   Buildings DER Spending by Vertical
3.3.3   Buildings DER Spending by Technology
3.3.4   Commercial Buildings DER Spending by Technology and Vertical
4. Conclusions and Recommendations
5. Building Types
5.1   Office
5.2   Retail
5.3   Education
5.4   Healthcare
5.5   Hotels and Restaurants
5.6   Institutional/Assembly
5.7   Warehouse
5.8   Transport
6. Acronym and Abbreviation List
7. Table of Contents
8. Table of Charts and Figures
9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

•     Total Commercial Building DER Spending by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Total Commercial Building DER Spending by Building Type, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Total Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Total Commercial Building PV Spending by Building Type, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Total Commercial Building Energy Storage Spending by Building Type, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Total Commercial Building EV Charging Spending by Building Type, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Total Commercial Building PV Spending by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Total Commercial Building Energy Storage Spending by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Total Commercial Building EV Charging Spending by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, North America: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, Europe: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, Latin America: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2021-2030
•     Value Capture Hierarchy for Distributed Energy Assets
•     Load Factors Among Different Building Types
•     US States with Net Metering

LIST OF TABLES

•     Commercial Building DER Self-Consumption-Enabling Technology Spending by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Self-Consumption-Enabling Technology Spending by Building Type, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Self-Consumption-Enabling Technology Spending by Technology, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building Solar Deployment Spending by Building Type, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building Energy Storage Deployment Spending by Building Type, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building EV Charging Deployment Spending by Building Type, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building Solar Deployment Spending by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building Energy Storage Deployment Spending by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building EV Charging Deployment Spending by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, North America: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, Europe: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, Latin America: 2021-2030
•     Commercial Building DER Spending by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2021-2030