Graphene Market & 2D Materials Assessment 2024-2034: Technologies, Markets, Players
グラフェン市場と2D材料の評価 2024-2034:技術、市場、プレーヤー
この調査レポートは、グラフェンおよびその他の二次元材料の技術的・商業的進歩に関する詳細な独自分析を提供しています。
主な掲載内容(目次より抜粋)
自家用車の規制・法... もっと見る
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Summary
この調査レポートは、グラフェンおよびその他の二次元材料の技術的・商業的進歩に関する詳細な独自分析を提供しています。
主な掲載内容(目次より抜粋)
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自家用車の規制・法整備
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自家用自律走行車
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レーダーの性能動向
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4Dとイメージング・レーダーへの道
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ローカライゼーションにおけるレーダー
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レーダー市場, サプライヤー, シェア, 構造, 変化
Report Summary
This report offers a detailed independent analysis of the technological and commercial progress of graphene and other 2D materials.
Why use IDTechEx for research on graphene and other nanomaterials?
This report is the result of more than a decade of ongoing market research. IDTechEx launched the first version of the report on CNTs and graphene in 2011 and 2012, respectively, and has been tracking the industries ever since. IDTechEx has interviewed hundreds of companies across the value chain to provide the most comprehensive view of the market.
IDTechEx has extensive in-depth coverage of many end-use markets for these materials, including a series of independent reports on such topics including energy storage, composites, conductive inks, flexible electronics, and more. This expertise on the end-use markets enables us to better understand the landscape in which these materials compete in and provide realistic outlooks.
Graphene: Finally moving out of the lab and into the market
Graphene-related materials are progressing through their own hype curve. The commercialization has been making steady progress and IDTechEx expect the graphene market to significantly grow over the next decade.
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Graphene-related materials take a wide range of types, grades and forms, each with their own commercial outlook. There is some progression towards standardisation and safety legislation/qualification, but this challenge still prevails. Extensive analysis and benchmarking studies are shown in the report across the complete range of graphene materials.
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Graphene nanoplatelets (GNP), graphene oxide (GO), and reduced graphene oxide (rGO) are the closest forms to significant commercial uptake. There are increasing signs that we are now in the rapid growth phase, with significant applications observed for polymer composites for automotive, heatspreaders for smartphones, industrial elastomers, anti-corrosion coatings and many more.
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There is no "best graphene" with each application having different multifunctional requirements, the end-users now accept that the winning materials cannot be determined a priori as final application-level results are influenced by many parameters such as graphene morphology and purity. Players understand there is key know-how in both dispersing graphene and introducing valuable functionality, companies are competing to fill that crucial stage of the value chain (externally and in-house) to provide a range of intermediate products.
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There are numerous strengths and weaknesses to the different graphene production processes with top-down approaches of liquid phase exfoliation and oxidation-reduction processes dominant. The report explores these processes in detail and also explores emerging alternatives looking to use alternate feedstocks, improve the efficiency and/or enhance the final product.
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There are a very large number of graphene manufacturers, which will not be the case in the long term as major success will result in consolidation - with the first signs having been reported. This report tracks the manufacturers' progress in detail including their revenue, profitability, capacity, price, properties, partnerships and more. China has become a significant territory in terms of production capacity and research, which is explored throughout the report.
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Our data suggest that revenue for graphene companies has been rising steadily for many years and this will accelerate as we pass through this inflection point. The rise, however, has not always been accompanied with increasing profit. Indeed, the industry, as a whole, is still loss making with only a handful of profitable companies and certainly some disillusionment arising as a result. Public and private funding still plays an important part of this nascent industry; this is tracked and discussed within the market report.
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Advanced materials often suffer from being a material push rather than a market pull. The report looks at key sectors in detail to understand some of the business cases solving unmet needs. Market drivers include the necessity for improved thermal management, sustainability, lightweighting, product lifetime, and more.
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With such an extensive potential application list, a key question is: where will there be success? Composites, energy storage, concrete, coatings, thermal management, and textiles all represent a very large potential and promising results have been seen. An outlook on the revenue and volume progression can be seen in the chart below and this roadmap is discussed in detail throughout the report.
Graphene Market and 2D Materials Assessment 2024-2034. We forecast that the graphene market will exceed US$1.6bn by 2034. Source IDTechEx
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Graphene films and wafers, typically grown via a CVD process, have had a very different history and outlook. Given the obvious potential, transistors and TCFs were extensively targeted, but the lack of band gap and high-performance incumbent materials challenges has led to an inevitable realisation of limitations. However, with manufacturing improvements and further developments, commercial successes are being observed mostly for sensors and optoelectronic applications. Expansions are being observed and the next 10-years looks very promising for certain key end-user markets.
What about 2D materials beyond graphene?
Beyond graphene there is an emerging family of 2D materials, each with unique properties and potential across a range of commercial applications. Nearly all are at a very early-stage of development. IDTechEx provides a detailed assessment and outlook with a specific focus on boron nitride, transition metal dichalcogenides, MXenes, and Xenes. Key technical progressions, prospective market applications, profiles of early-stage commercial companies, and detailed insights are all included within the report.
What about other advanced carbons?
Graphene is not the first nanocarbon, or indeed nanomaterial, to emerge out of the lab and, given that most applications see graphene used as an additive, understanding the competitive market is essential. Carbon black is the incumbent conductive carbon powder, of which there are numerous grades, and presents a likely long-term future for GNPs and rGO if high-volume killer applications are found. For a mature sector like this, the number of manufacturers is consolidated, a global presence established, and the margins significantly reduced.
There is also a lot to be learned from the commercial progression of multi-walled and single-walled carbon nanotubes. MWCNTs went through a premature period of capacity expansion when finding some niche and modest applications, and it is only in the last few years that the significant revenues and next stages of expansion are beginning to emerge, owing to their role in the cathode of lithium-ion batteries; meanwhile, SWCNTs hold much promise but have yet to find their key commercial use-case. This report covers these comparative markets in detail.
Key aspects
This report provides critical market intelligence for the graphene industry, and for each of the 18 application sectors covered. This includes:
A technological overview of the graphene market: Assessment of manufacturing methods:
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Overview of diverse grades of graphene material.
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Comparison with competitive material landscape.
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Analysis of 18 key application areas for graphene materials including pipeline and readiness levels.
An assessment of graphene suppliers worldwide:
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Benchmarking studies of material on the market.
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Trends in company revenue and profit/loss.
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Pricing evolutions, trends, and strategies worldwide for graphene.
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Nominal production capacity by supplier worldwide for graphene.
A market analysis throughout:
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Ten-year application-segmented market projections for graphene (in different forms) in volume and value.
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Segmented by 18 end-use applications.
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Table of Contents
1. |
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY |
1.1. |
Three Key Takeaways for the Automotive Radar Market |
1.2. |
Introduction to Automotive Radar |
1.3. |
ADAS Applications Enabled by Front Radar |
1.4. |
ADAS Applications Enabled by Side Radar |
1.5. |
Growth in ADAS Availability Over the Past 20 years |
1.6. |
Percentage of Vehicles Shipped With Key ADAS Features in 2022 |
1.7. |
SAE Automation Levels Definition |
1.8. |
Growth in Level 2 Deployment Since 2020 |
1.9. |
Number of Radars Shipped per Vehicle |
1.10. |
Number of Radars Used in SAE Levels 0, 1 & 2 |
1.11. |
No of Sensors Required for Autonomous Cars - Level 0 to Level 4 and Robotaxis |
1.12. |
The Need For and Emergence of Imaging Radar |
1.13. |
4D Radars and Imaging Radars |
1.14. |
Existing 4D Imaging Radars on the Market |
1.15. |
Vehicles Currently Using 4D Imaging Radars |
1.16. |
Semiconductor Technology Trends in Radar |
1.17. |
Future Radar Packaging Choices |
1.18. |
Passenger Vehicle Sales Forecast by Region 2019-2044 |
1.19. |
Autonomous Vehicles Forecast by SAE level 2022-2044 |
1.20. |
Sensors for Autonomous Vehicles 2024-2044 |
1.21. |
Radar Unit Sales for Different SAE Levels 2020-2044 |
1.22. |
Regional Radar Sales 2020-2024 |
1.23. |
Sales Revenue From Radar by SAE Level 2020-2044 |
1.24. |
Company profiles |
2. |
INTRODUCTION |
2.1. |
Radar - Radio Detection and Ranging |
2.2. |
Typical Sensor Suite for Autonomous Cars |
2.3. |
Radar |
2.4. |
Sensors and their Purpose |
2.5. |
Where does Radar Sit in the Sensor Trio? |
2.6. |
ADAS Adoption by Region in 2022 |
2.7. |
Functions of Autonomous Driving at Different Levels |
2.8. |
ADAS and AV Key Terminologies |
2.9. |
SAE Levels of Automation in Cars |
2.10. |
Legislative Barriers for Private Autonomous Vehicles |
2.11. |
Safety Mandated Features Driving Wider Radar Adoption |
2.12. |
Typical Sensor Suites and the Purpose of Each Sensor |
2.13. |
Quantity per Car - Level 2 |
2.14. |
Sensors per Vehicle: Level 3 and Above |
2.15. |
No More Medium Range Radar (MRR) |
2.16. |
Occupant Detection |
2.17. |
Radar Anatomy |
2.18. |
Radar Key Components |
2.19. |
Primary Radar Components - The Antenna |
2.20. |
Primary Radar Components - the RF Transceiver |
2.21. |
Primary Radar Components - MCU |
3. |
REGULATORY & LEGISLATIVE PROGRESS FOR PRIVATE VEHICLES |
3.1.1. |
Why Regulating Autonomous Vehicles is Important for the Continued Growth of Radar |
3.1.2. |
Privately Owned Autonomous Vehicles |
3.1.3. |
Legislation and Autonomy |
3.2. |
Europe |
3.2.1. |
EU Mandating Level 2 Autonomy from July 2022 |
3.2.2. |
Level 3 roll out in Europe (1) |
3.2.3. |
Level 3 Roll Out in Europe (2) |
3.2.4. |
Level 3 outlook in Europe |
3.2.5. |
UNECE 2023 Update |
3.3. |
US |
3.3.1. |
Level 3, Legislation, US |
3.3.2. |
Mercedes S-Class first level 3 car in US |
3.3.3. |
Outlook for the US |
3.4. |
China |
3.4.1. |
Level 3, Legislation, China |
3.4.2. |
Shenzhen Moves Towards Level 3 |
3.4.3. |
Outlook for China |
3.5. |
Japan |
3.5.1. |
Private Autonomous Vehicles in Japan |
3.5.2. |
World Overview |
3.5.3. |
The Autonomous Legal Race |
4. |
PRIVATE AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES |
4.1. |
ADAS Features |
4.1.1. |
ADAS Functions and Radar |
4.1.2. |
IDTechEx's ADAS Feature Database |
4.1.3. |
ADAS Adoption by Region in 2022 |
4.1.4. |
ADAS Feature Deployment in the US |
4.1.5. |
ADAS Feature Deployment in the China |
4.1.6. |
ADAS Feature Deployment in EU + UK + EFTA |
4.1.7. |
ADAS Feature Deployment in Japan |
4.1.8. |
SAE Level Adoption by Region 2020 vs 2022 |
4.2. |
Examples and Case Studies |
4.2.1. |
Sensor Suite Disclaimer |
4.2.2. |
Honda |
4.2.3. |
Honda Legend - Sensor suite |
4.2.4. |
Mercedes S-Class (2021), EQS (2022) |
4.2.5. |
Mercedes S-class - Sensor Suite |
4.2.6. |
Daimler/Bosch Autonomous Parking |
4.2.7. |
Ford, VW and Argo AI |
4.2.8. |
Audi |
4.2.9. |
Case study - Audi A8 (2017) |
4.2.10. |
Tesla |
4.2.11. |
Tesla's Unusual Approach |
4.2.12. |
Tesla's Sensor Suite |
4.2.13. |
Super Cruise (GM) and BlueCruise (Ford) |
4.2.14. |
Cadillac Escalade - Sensor suite |
4.2.15. |
China - XPeng and Arcfox |
4.2.16. |
Leaders |
4.2.17. |
Private Vehicle Leaders |
4.3. |
Sensors for Private Vehicles |
4.3.1. |
Front Radar Applications |
4.3.2. |
The Role of Side Radars |
4.3.3. |
Front and Side Radars per Car |
4.3.4. |
Total Radars per Car for Different SAE levels |
4.3.5. |
Vehicle camera applications |
4.3.6. |
E-mirrors, an emerging camera application |
4.3.7. |
External Cameras for Autonomous Driving |
4.3.8. |
Internal Cameras for Autonomous Driver Monitoring |
4.3.9. |
LiDARs in automotive applications |
4.3.10. |
LiDAR Deployment |
4.3.11. |
Total Sensors For Level 0 to Level 4 and Robotaxis |
4.3.12. |
Summary of Privately Owned Autonomous Vehicles |
4.4. |
Key Player Analysis |
4.4.1. |
State of Development |
4.4.2. |
Waymo |
4.4.3. |
Waymo Sensor Suite |
4.4.4. |
Cruise |
4.4.5. |
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