1. |
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY |
1.1. |
Three Key Takeaways for the Automotive Radar Market |
1.2. |
Introduction to Automotive Radar |
1.3. |
ADAS Applications Enabled by Front Radar |
1.4. |
ADAS Applications Enabled by Side Radar |
1.5. |
Growth in ADAS Availability Over the Past 20 years |
1.6. |
Percentage of Vehicles Shipped With Key ADAS Features in 2022 |
1.7. |
SAE Automation Levels Definition |
1.8. |
Growth in Level 2 Deployment Since 2020 |
1.9. |
Number of Radars Shipped per Vehicle |
1.10. |
Number of Radars Used in SAE Levels 0, 1 & 2 |
1.11. |
No of Sensors Required for Autonomous Cars - Level 0 to Level 4 and Robotaxis |
1.12. |
The Need For and Emergence of Imaging Radar |
1.13. |
4D Radars and Imaging Radars |
1.14. |
Existing 4D Imaging Radars on the Market |
1.15. |
Vehicles Currently Using 4D Imaging Radars |
1.16. |
Semiconductor Technology Trends in Radar |
1.17. |
Future Radar Packaging Choices |
1.18. |
Passenger Vehicle Sales Forecast by Region 2019-2044 |
1.19. |
Autonomous Vehicles Forecast by SAE level 2022-2044 |
1.20. |
Sensors for Autonomous Vehicles 2024-2044 |
1.21. |
Radar Unit Sales for Different SAE Levels 2020-2044 |
1.22. |
Regional Radar Sales 2020-2024 |
1.23. |
Sales Revenue From Radar by SAE Level 2020-2044 |
1.24. |
Company profiles |
2. |
INTRODUCTION |
2.1. |
Radar - Radio Detection and Ranging |
2.2. |
Typical Sensor Suite for Autonomous Cars |
2.3. |
Radar |
2.4. |
Sensors and their Purpose |
2.5. |
Where does Radar Sit in the Sensor Trio? |
2.6. |
ADAS Adoption by Region in 2022 |
2.7. |
Functions of Autonomous Driving at Different Levels |
2.8. |
ADAS and AV Key Terminologies |
2.9. |
SAE Levels of Automation in Cars |
2.10. |
Legislative Barriers for Private Autonomous Vehicles |
2.11. |
Safety Mandated Features Driving Wider Radar Adoption |
2.12. |
Typical Sensor Suites and the Purpose of Each Sensor |
2.13. |
Quantity per Car - Level 2 |
2.14. |
Sensors per Vehicle: Level 3 and Above |
2.15. |
No More Medium Range Radar (MRR) |
2.16. |
Occupant Detection |
2.17. |
Radar Anatomy |
2.18. |
Radar Key Components |
2.19. |
Primary Radar Components - The Antenna |
2.20. |
Primary Radar Components - the RF Transceiver |
2.21. |
Primary Radar Components - MCU |
3. |
REGULATORY & LEGISLATIVE PROGRESS FOR PRIVATE VEHICLES |
3.1.1. |
Why Regulating Autonomous Vehicles is Important for the Continued Growth of Radar |
3.1.2. |
Privately Owned Autonomous Vehicles |
3.1.3. |
Legislation and Autonomy |
3.2. |
Europe |
3.2.1. |
EU Mandating Level 2 Autonomy from July 2022 |
3.2.2. |
Level 3 roll out in Europe (1) |
3.2.3. |
Level 3 Roll Out in Europe (2) |
3.2.4. |
Level 3 outlook in Europe |
3.2.5. |
UNECE 2023 Update |
3.3. |
US |
3.3.1. |
Level 3, Legislation, US |
3.3.2. |
Mercedes S-Class first level 3 car in US |
3.3.3. |
Outlook for the US |
3.4. |
China |
3.4.1. |
Level 3, Legislation, China |
3.4.2. |
Shenzhen Moves Towards Level 3 |
3.4.3. |
Outlook for China |
3.5. |
Japan |
3.5.1. |
Private Autonomous Vehicles in Japan |
3.5.2. |
World Overview |
3.5.3. |
The Autonomous Legal Race |
4. |
PRIVATE AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES |
4.1. |
ADAS Features |
4.1.1. |
ADAS Functions and Radar |
4.1.2. |
IDTechEx's ADAS Feature Database |
4.1.3. |
ADAS Adoption by Region in 2022 |
4.1.4. |
ADAS Feature Deployment in the US |
4.1.5. |
ADAS Feature Deployment in the China |
4.1.6. |
ADAS Feature Deployment in EU + UK + EFTA |
4.1.7. |
ADAS Feature Deployment in Japan |
4.1.8. |
SAE Level Adoption by Region 2020 vs 2022 |
4.2. |
Examples and Case Studies |
4.2.1. |
Sensor Suite Disclaimer |
4.2.2. |
Honda |
4.2.3. |
Honda Legend - Sensor suite |
4.2.4. |
Mercedes S-Class (2021), EQS (2022) |
4.2.5. |
Mercedes S-class - Sensor Suite |
4.2.6. |
Daimler/Bosch Autonomous Parking |
4.2.7. |
Ford, VW and Argo AI |
4.2.8. |
Audi |
4.2.9. |
Case study - Audi A8 (2017) |
4.2.10. |
Tesla |
4.2.11. |
Tesla's Unusual Approach |
4.2.12. |
Tesla's Sensor Suite |
4.2.13. |
Super Cruise (GM) and BlueCruise (Ford) |
4.2.14. |
Cadillac Escalade - Sensor suite |
4.2.15. |
China - XPeng and Arcfox |
4.2.16. |
Leaders |
4.2.17. |
Private Vehicle Leaders |
4.3. |
Sensors for Private Vehicles |
4.3.1. |
Front Radar Applications |
4.3.2. |
The Role of Side Radars |
4.3.3. |
Front and Side Radars per Car |
4.3.4. |
Total Radars per Car for Different SAE levels |
4.3.5. |
Vehicle camera applications |
4.3.6. |
E-mirrors, an emerging camera application |
4.3.7. |
External Cameras for Autonomous Driving |
4.3.8. |
Internal Cameras for Autonomous Driver Monitoring |
4.3.9. |
LiDARs in automotive applications |
4.3.10. |
LiDAR Deployment |
4.3.11. |
Total Sensors For Level 0 to Level 4 and Robotaxis |
4.3.12. |
Summary of Privately Owned Autonomous Vehicles |
4.4. |
Key Player Analysis |
4.4.1. |
State of Development |
4.4.2. |
Waymo |
4.4.3. |
Waymo Sensor Suite |
4.4.4. |
Cruise |
4.4.5. |
Cruise Sensor Suite |
4.4.6. |
Waymo and Cruise's Ground Up Robotaxi Vehicles |
4.4.7. |
AutoX |
4.4.8. |
AutoX Sensor Suite |
4.4.9. |
Baidu/Apollo |
4.4.10. |
Baidu's Ground Up Robotaxi |
4.4.11. |
Mobileye - One of the Most Significant Testers Not in California |
4.4.12. |
Robotaxi Sensor Suite Analysis (1) |
4.4.13. |
Robotaxi Sensor Suite Analysis (2) |
5. |
TIER 1 RADARS, START-UP RADARS & TIER 2 TRANSCEIVERS |
5.1.1. |
Radar Key Performance Indicators |
5.2. |
Tier 2 - Transceivers |
5.2.1. |
What is the Transceiver? |
5.2.2. |
Texas Instruments - CMOS Transceiver with AOP |
5.2.3. |
Texas Instruments Range of Integration |
5.2.4. |
NXP - CMOS Transceiver |
5.2.5. |
STMicroelectronics - SiGe Transceiver |
5.2.6. |
Infineon - Moving Over to CMOS |
5.2.7. |
Analogue Devices |
5.2.8. |
Global Foundries - CMOS Partnership with Bosch |
5.3. |
Tier 1 - Radars |
5.3.1. |
Continental ARS540 - Product |
5.3.2. |
Continental |
5.3.3. |
Bosch |
5.3.4. |
Denso |
5.3.5. |
Hella |
5.3.6. |
ZF - Future |
5.3.7. |
Magna fails to acquire Veoneer, But Supplies Next Gen. Radar to Fisker |
5.3.8. |
Other Tier 1s |
5.3.9. |
Tier 1 Leaders and Laggards |
5.3.10. |
Vertical Integration of Radar |
5.4. |
New Radar Entrants |
5.4.1. |
Table of Emerging Radar Players |
5.4.2. |
Arbe |
5.4.3. |
Arbe and its Investors |
5.4.4. |
Sensrad - Bringing Arbe's Technology to New Markets |
5.4.5. |
Mobileye |
5.4.6. |
Metawave |
5.4.7. |
Metawave and its Investors |
5.4.8. |
Zadar |
5.4.9. |
High Performance And Cost Effective Imaging Radar From Zendar |
5.4.10. |
Software Enabled High Performance Radar With Spartan |
5.4.11. |
Smart Radar System (SRS) |
5.4.12. |
Vayyar - Chip Manufacturer |
5.4.13. |
Oculii (Acquired in 2021) |
5.4.14. |
Lunewave - 3D Printed Radar Antenna |
5.4.15. |
Others |
5.4.16. |
Funding for Radar Start-ups |
6. |
PERFORMANCE TRENDS IN RADAR |
6.1.1. |
IDTechEx Radar Trends Primary Research Method |
6.1.2. |
Radar Trends: Volume and Footprint |
6.1.3. |
Radar Trends: Packaging and Performance |
6.1.4. |
Radar Trends: Increasing Range |
6.1.5. |
Radar Trends: Field of View |
6.1.6. |
Trading FOV with Range |
6.1.7. |
Radar Trends: Angular Resolution (lower is better) |
6.1.8. |
Radar Trends: Virtual Channel Count |
6.1.9. |
Radar Trends: Virtual Channels and Resolution |
6.1.10. |
Radars Limited Resolution |
6.1.11. |
Two Approaches to Larger Channel Counts |
6.1.12. |
Packaging and Integration Trends |
6.1.13. |
Radar Trilemma |
7. |
ROUTES TO 4D AND IMAGING RADAR |
7.1.1. |
Why 4D and Imaging Radars are Needed |
7.1.2. |
Difference between 4D and 4D Imaging Radar |
7.1.3. |
The Rayleigh Criterion |
7.1.4. |
Option 1 - Increase the Operating Frequency |
7.1.5. |
Option 2 - Larger Aperture, Zendar |
7.1.6. |
Plastic Omnium's Functionalized Bumper |
7.1.7. |
Option 3 - Super-Resolution Software |
7.1.8. |
Another Solution - Scanning |
7.1.9. |
4D Imaging Radar Examples |
7.1.10. |
4D Imaging Radar Benchmarking Method |
7.1.11. |
4D Imaging Radar Benchmarking Result |
7.1.12. |
Deployments of 4D Imaging Radars |
8. |
RADAR IN LOCALISATION |
8.1.1. |
What is Localisation? |
8.1.2. |
Localization: Absolute vs Relative |
8.1.3. |
Main Methods of Localisation |
8.1.4. |
Radar Mapping |
8.1.5. |
Radar Localisation: Navtech |
8.1.6. |
Radar Localisation: GPR (previously WaveSense) |
9. |
TECHNOLOGY TRENDS WITHIN RADAR |
9.1. |
Waveforms and MIMO |
9.1.1. |
Introduction to Waveforms |
9.1.2. |
Typical Performance with FMCW (single Tx/Rx) (1) |
9.1.3. |
Typical Performance with FMCW (single Tx/Rx) (2) |
9.1.4. |
Multiple Inputs, Multiple Outputs |
9.1.5. |
Scaling up of MIMO |
9.1.6. |
Oculii (acquired by Ambarella |
9.1.7. |
Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing |
9.1.8. |
Multiple Frequency Shift Key (MFSK) |
9.1.9. |
Random/Noise/Digital Code Modulation |
9.1.10. |
Uhnder - DCM MIMO Chip Developer |
9.2. |
Frequency trends |
9.2.1. |
Which Way is Frequency Going? |
9.2.2. |
Applications of Different Frequencies |
9.2.3. |
Applications of Different Frequencies |
9.2.4. |
Automotive Radar Frequency Trends |
9.2.5. |
Which Parameters Limit the Achievable KPIs |
9.2.6. |
The Significance of |
9.2.7. |
Example of High Frequency Radar Imaging |
9.2.8. |
Packaging Benefits |
9.2.9. |
Ranging |
9.2.10. |
Surface Ice Detection |
9.2.11. |
Radar Imaging at 300GHz from Fraunhofer |
9.2.12. |
Adoption Path of High Frequency Radars |
9.2.13. |
Challenges and Hurdles for High Frequency Radar |
9.2.14. |
Regulation |
9.3. |
Transceivers - Semiconductor Technologies and Cascading |
9.3.1. |
The trend towards smaller transistors |
9.3.2. |
Transceivers Semiconductor Trends: Power and Noise |
9.3.3. |
Transceivers Semiconductor Trends: Power and Noise |
9.3.4. |
Transceivers Semiconductor Trends: Virtual Channels |
9.3.5. |
SiGe BiCMOS |
9.3.6. |
CMOS |
9.3.7. |
FD-SOI |
9.3.8. |
The Future |
9.3.9. |
Timeline |
9.3.10. |
Automotive radar trending towards more advanced silicon |
9.4. |
Radomes, Antennas, Materials and Board Trends |
9.4.1. |
Importance of the Radome |
9.4.2. |
Radome and Range |
9.4.3. |
Ideal Radome Properties |
9.4.4. |
Radome Shape Considerations |
9.4.5. |
Preperm |
9.4.6. |
Laird - Side Lobe Reduction Skirt Material |
9.4.7. |
Radar Aesthetics, Form and Function |
9.4.8. |
Other material considerations |
9.4.9. |
Key Material Suppliers |
9.5. |
Radar Material Selection and Benchmarking |
9.5.1. |
Dielectric Constant: Benchmarking Different Substrate Technologies |
9.5.2. |
Dielectric Constant: Stability vs Frequency for Different Organic Substrates |
9.5.3. |
Dielectric Constant: Stability vs Frequency for Different Inorganic Substrates (LTCC, Glass) |
9.5.4. |
Loss Tangent: Benchmarking Different Substrate Technologies |
9.5.5. |
Loss Tangent: Stability vs Frequency For Different Substrates |
9.5.6. |
Dielectric Constant and Loss Tangent Stability: Behaviour at mmWave Frequencies and Higher |
9.5.7. |
Temperature Stability of Dielectric Constant: Benchmarking Organic Substrates |
9.5.8. |
Moisture Uptake: Benchmarking Different Substrate Technologies |
9.6. |
Antennas |
9.6.1. |
Antenna Design |
9.6.2. |
Patch Array Design |
9.6.3. |
Patch Array in Practice |
9.6.4. |
Phased Array Antennas |
9.6.5. |
Metawave - Analogue Beamforming/Beam Steering |
9.6.6. |
Echodyne |
9.6.7. |
Lunewave - 3D Printed Antenna |
9.6.8. |
Antenna Miniaturisation |
9.6.9. |
Board Trends |
10. |
RADAR MARKET, SUPPLIERS, SHARES, STRUCTURE, CHANGES |
10.1. |
Availability of ADAS |
10.2. |
Adoption of ADAS Driving Radar Growth |
10.3. |
Level 3 Vehicles and Further Radar Adoption |
10.4. |
Tesla and Subaru |
10.5. |
Tier One Market Share by Volume - All Radars |
10.6. |
Tier One Market Share by Revenue - All Radar |
10.7. |
Tier One Market Share by Revenue - Front Radar |
10.8. |
Top OEM Front Radar Choices |
10.9. |
Front Radar Popularity by Region - US and EU + UK + EFTA |
10.10. |
Front Radar Popularity by Region - China and Japan |
10.11. |
Tier One Market Share by Revenue - Side Radar |
10.12. |
Top OEM Side Radar Choices |
10.13. |
Side Radar Popularity by Region - US and EU + UK + EFTA |
10.14. |
Side Radar Popularity by Region - China and Japan |
10.15. |
Radar Model Age |
10.16. |
Most Popular Radar Models in US |
10.17. |
Most popular radar models in EU + UK + EFTA |
11. |
FORECASTS |
11.1. |
Methodology - Autonomous Vehicles Report and Total Number of Radars |
11.2. |
Methodology - Technology Splits |
11.3. |
Addressable Market - Passenger Vehicle Sales Forecast by Region 2019-2044 |
11.4. |
Addressable Market - Autonomous Vehicles Forecast by SAE level 2022-2044 |
11.5. |
Forecasting Method: Sensors |
11.6. |
Addressable Market - Sensors for Autonomous Vehicles 2022-2044 |
11.7. |
Radar Unit Sales by SAE Level Forecast - 2020-2044 |
11.8. |
Radar Unit Sales by Region Forecast - 2020-2044 |
11.9. |
Radar Sales Revenue Forecast by SAE Level 2020-2044 |
11.10. |
Radar Unit Sales Forecast in US by SAE Level 2020-2044 |
11.11. |
Radar Unit Sales Forecast in China by SAE Level 2020-2044 |
11.12. |
Radar Unit Sales Forecast in EU + UK + EFTA by SAE Level 2024-2044 |
11.13. |
Radar Unit Sales Forecast in Japan by SAE Level 2020-2044 |
11.14. |
Short-Range Radar Forecast by Virtual Channels 2020-2044 |
11.15. |
Long-Range Radar Forecast by Virtual Channels 2020-2044 |
11.16. |
Total Radar Market by No. Virtual Channels 2020-2044 |
11.17. |
Radar Sales Proportionally by Frequency 2020-2044 |
11.18. |
Radar Sales Proportionally by Semiconductor Technology 2024-2044 |
11.19. |
Low-Loss Material Market Forecast for Automotive Radar 2020-2044 |
12. |
COMPANY PROFILES |
12.1. |
Arbe (2021) |
12.2. |
Bosch (2021) |
12.3. |
Continental - infrastructure radar |
12.4. |
Continental (2021) |
12.5. |
Fisker |
12.6. |
Greenerwave |
12.7. |
Kayaki Advanced Materials |
12.8. |
Metawave |
12.9. |
Mobileye |
12.10. |
Mobileye (2021) |
12.11. |
Nodar |
12.12. |
NXP (2021) |
12.13. |
Plastic Omnium |
12.14. |
Pontosense |
12.15. |
Sensrad |
12.16. |
Smart Radar Systems |
12.17. |
Spartan Radar |
12.18. |
Uhnder |
12.19. |
Waymo |
12.20. |
Zadar Labs |
12.21. |
Zendar |