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Advanced Li-ion Battery Technologies 2024-2034: Technologies, Players, Forecasts


先進リチウムイオン電池技術 2024-2034:技術、プレーヤー、予測

この調査レポートでは、シリコン負極、リチウム金属負極、正極材料と合成開発、固体電池の紹介など、先進的な次世代リチウムイオン電池の材料と設計の詳細な分析、動向、開発状況を掲載しています。  ... もっと見る

 

 

出版社 出版年月 電子版価格 ページ数 言語
IDTechEx
アイディーテックエックス
2024年4月3日 US$7,000
電子ファイル(1-5ユーザライセンス)
ライセンス・価格情報
注文方法はこちら
413 英語

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Summary

この調査レポートでは、シリコン負極、リチウム金属負極、正極材料と合成開発、固体電池の紹介など、先進的な次世代リチウムイオン電池の材料と設計の詳細な分析、動向、開発状況を掲載しています。
 
主な掲載内容(目次より抜粋)
  • 固体電池
  • セルとバッテリーの設計
  • 予測
  • 会社概要
 
Report Summary
The global market for Li-ion battery cells alone is forecast to reach US$380 billion by 2034, driven primarily by demand for battery electric cars and vehicles. Improvements to battery performance and cost are required to ensure widespread deployment of electric vehicles and to enable longer runtime and functionality of electronic devices and tools, leading to strong competition in the development of next-generation Li-ion technologies. This report provides in-depth analysis, trends and developments in advanced and next-generation Li-ion cell materials and designs, including silicon anodes, Li-metal anodes, cathode material and synthesis developments, an introduction to solid-state batteries, amongst other areas of development. Details of the key players and start-ups in each technology space are outlined and addressable markets and forecasts are provided for silicon, Li-metal, and cathode material shares.
 
Li-ion demand forecast. Source: IDTechEx.
 
Historically driven by demand for consumer electronic devices, the EV and stationary storage markets have become increasingly important. While numerous battery and energy storage options are becoming available for the stationary energy storage market, the high energy density requirements of electronic and portable devices, and electric cars and vehicles, ensures that Li-ion batteries will remain the dominant battery chemistry. However, improvements are still sought after. For consumer and portable devices, longer run-times and faster charging capabilities are needed to keep up with increasing computing power and offer greater functionality. For the potentially lucrative EV market, longer range, short charging times, and of course lower costs and prices are still key to widespread adoption. The battery electric car market is of course a key target for many battery technology developments, offering the opportunity to supply a market where battery demand is forecast to grow beyond 2700 GWh by 2030. Certainly, the development of advanced and next-generation Li-ion technologies will be critical to various sectors, as well as for battery companies aiming to succeed or maintain their place in the market.
 
Design schematics of lithium-based cell chemistries. Source: IDTechEx.
 
Anodes
New anode materials offer the chance of significantly improved battery performance, particularly energy density and fast charge capability. Two of the most exciting material developments to Li-ion are the development and adoption of silicon anodes and Li-metal anodes, the latter often but not always in conjunction with solid-electrolytes. The excitement stems primarily from the possibility of these anode materials significantly improving energy density, where improvements of 30-40% over current state-of-the-art Li-ion cells are feasible. Enhancements to rate capability, safety, environmental profile, and even cost, are also being highlighted by developers. However, shifting from the use of silicon oxides as an additive to higher weight percentages, and the use of lithium-metal anodes have posed serious problems to battery cycle life and longevity, which has delayed and limited commercial adoption so far. This report covers and analyzes the solutions being developed and provides coverage of the various companies aiming to commercialize their high energy anode materials and designs. The report also provides coverage of high-rate anode materials based on metal oxides such as LTO and niobium anodes.
 
Cathodes
While new cathode materials are expected to provide improvements over incumbents and direct competitors, they are likely to be relatively small, and unlikely to push the performance envelope of Li-ion batteries significantly. Instead, cathode development can help to optimize and minimize the trade-off inherent in deploying one chemistry over another. Material costs and supply chain concerns also play a critical role in the development of next-generation cathodes materials. For example, companies continue to push nickel content in NMC cathodes to maximize performance and reduce cobalt reliance, LMFP cathodes offer a higher energy density than LFP whilst maintaining a similar cost profile, while Li-Mn-rich cathodes can provide similar energy densities to NMC materials whilst reducing cobalt and nickel content. IDTechEx's report provides an appraisal of the various next-generation Li-ion cathode materials, highlighting their respective strengths and weaknesses and the value proposition they offer, or could offer, to specific applications and markets.
 
Cell and battery design
Developments to cell and battery pack design can play a similarly important role in ongoing performance gains. At the cell level, electrode structure, current collector design, electrolyte additives and formulations, and the use of additives such as carbon nanotubes will continue to play a role in maximizing Li-ion performance across various applications. At the pack level, cell-to-pack designs are becoming increasingly popular for electric cars as a means to optimize energy density and are being developed by players such as BYD, CATL, and Tesla, amongst others. More innovative battery management systems and analytics also represents a key route to battery improvement, offering one of only a few ways to improve performance characteristics including energy density, rate capability, lifetime, and safety simultaneously - a feat that is notoriously difficult to achieve.
 
Commercialization
Current Li-ion materials processing and cell manufacturing is dominated by Asia and China. While the US and Europe in particular are now looking to develop and nurture their own battery supply chains, one route to capturing and domesticating value could be to lead the way in innovation and next-generation technology development. Here, the US and Europe fare slightly better. Looking at start-up companies by geography, as a proxy for innovation, and the US comes out as a leader in next generation technology with the inflation reduction act providing further impetus with the DOE also providing funding via the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law to companies and start-ups such as Sila Nano and Group14 Technologies. Europe is also home to a growing battery industry and start-up landscape, though it needs to be noted that development in Asia is likely under-represented given the stronger presence of major battery manufacturers and materials companies. Timelines and production plans from various players across different technology platforms are presented in the report alongside analysis of the cost impact of using new Li-ion materials. The report is complemented with a large number of company profiles covering company involvement in a particular technology.
 
Geographic distribution of battery start-up companies. Source: IDTechEx
 
IDTechEx's report provides an appraisal of the various next-generation Li-ion technologies being developed and commercialized. This report covers and analyzes many of the key technological advancements in advanced and next-generation Li-ion batteries, including silicon and lithium-metal anodes, manganese-rich cathodes, ultra-high nickel NMC, LMFP, as well as optimized cell and battery designs. Details on the key players and start-ups in each technology are outlined and addressable markets and forecasts are provided for next-generation anode and cathode materials.
 
Key aspects
This report provides the following information:
  • Introduction to Li-ion battery technologies.
  • Analysis of and appraisal advanced Li-ion technologies including: silicon anodes, lithium metal anodes, lithium titanate and niobates, high-manganese cathodes, ultra-high nickel NMC, LMFP.
  • Player coverage across anodes, cathodes and other cell developments (e.g. carbon nanotubes, electrolytes, electrode and cell structure, BMS).
  • Analysis of funding, activity, and commercialization into next-generation Li-ion technology development.
  • Discussion of markets and applications, battery demand forecasts, forecasts of anode and cathode splits.


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Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1. Advanced Li-ion technology key takeaways
1.2. Li-ion performance and technology timeline
1.3. Key technology developments
1.4. Silicon anode summary
1.5. Si-anode performance summary
1.6. Anode materials comparison
1.7. Silicon-anode company technologies and performance
1.8. Material opportunities from silicon anodes
1.9. Silicon anode value chain
1.10. Li-metal anodes
1.11. Li-metal battery developers
1.12. Comparison of solid-state electrolyte systems
1.13. SSB technology summary of various companies
1.14. Concluding remarks on solid-state batteries
1.15. Cathode development summary
1.16. Benefits of high and ultra-high nickel NMC
1.17. High-nickel CAM stabilisation
1.18. LMR-NMC cost profile
1.19. Cathode chemistry impact on lithium consumption
1.20. Advanced cathode chemistry comparison
1.21. Alternative cathode synthesis routes
1.22. Player involvement in advanced cathode technologies
1.23. Cell and battery design
1.24. Battery technologies - start-up activity
1.25. Battery technologies - regional start-up of activity
1.26. Battery technologies - level of regional activity
1.27. Battery technology start-ups - regional activity
1.28. Advanced Li-ion developers
1.29. Regional efforts
1.30. Battery technology comparison
1.31. Performance comparison by popular cell chemistries
1.32. Improvements to cell energy density and specific energy
1.33. Readiness level snapshot
1.34. Risks and challenges in new battery technology commercialisation
1.35. Risks and challenges in new battery technology commercialisation
1.36. BEV anode forecast (GWh)
1.37. BEV anode forecast (kt, US$B)
1.38. Advanced Li-ion anode forecast
1.39. BEV car cathode forecast (GWh)
1.40. BEV cathode forecast (GWh)
1.41. EV cathode forecast (GWh)
2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Defining the scope of advanced Li-ion batteries
2.2. Trends in the Li-ion market
2.3. What is a Li-ion battery?
2.4. Li-ion cathode materials - LCO and LFP
2.5. Li-ion cathode materials - NMC, NCA and LMO
2.6. Li-ion anode materials - graphite and LTO
2.7. Li-ion anode materials - silicon and lithium metal
2.8. Li-ion electrolytes
2.9. Li-ion value chain (US$)
2.10. Examples of new technology entry
3. ANODES
3.1. Introduction
3.1.1. Types of lithium battery by anode
3.1.2. Anode materials discussion
3.1.3. Anode materials discussion
3.1.4. Strengths and weaknesses of anode materials
3.1.5. Li-ion anode materials compared
3.1.6. Silicon Anode Technology and Performance
3.1.7. Definitions
3.1.8. The promise of silicon
3.1.9. Alloy anode materials
3.1.10. The reality of silicon
3.1.11. Comparing silicon - a high-level overview
3.1.12. Solutions for silicon incorporation
3.1.13. Solutions for silicon incorporation
3.1.14. Key silicon anode solutions
3.1.15. Silicon-carbon composites
3.1.16. Silicon deposition
3.1.17. Silicon oxides and coatings
3.1.18. Manufacturing silicon anode material
3.1.19. Top Si-anode patent assignee topics
3.1.20. Top 3 patent assignee Si-anode technology comparison
3.1.21. Value proposition of high silicon content anodes
3.1.22. Cell energy density increases with silicon content
3.1.23. Strengths and weaknesses of anode materials
3.1.24. Silicon anodes offer significant benefits but also challenges
3.1.25. Key metrics for silicon anodes
3.1.26. Silicon-anode company technologies and performance
3.1.27. Cell specification data examples
3.1.28. Example cell performance data
3.1.29. Example cell performance data
3.1.30. Example anode material and half-cell performance data
3.1.31. Commercial silicon anode specification
3.1.32. Commercial silicon anode specification
3.1.33. Silicon anode material - Wacker Chemie
3.1.34. Silicon anode material - Umicore
3.1.35. Silicon anode performance
3.1.36. Silicon anode calendar life
3.1.37. Silicon anode cost benefits
3.1.38. Silicon anode cost potential
3.1.39. Silicon anode environmental benefits
3.1.40. Concluding remarks on Si-anode performance
3.1.41. Silicon Anode Market
3.1.42. 2022 silicon anode player developments
3.1.43. 2022 silicon anode player developments
3.1.44. 2023 silicon anode player developments
3.1.45. 2023 silicon anode player developments
3.1.46. Silicon anode deployment
3.1.47. Current silicon use
3.1.48. Silicon use in EVs
3.1.49. Silicon and LFP
3.1.50. Silicon in consumer devices
3.1.51. Established company interest in silicon anodes
3.1.52. Silicon-anode companies
3.1.53. Silicon-anode companies
3.1.54. Funding for silicon anodes continues
3.1.55. Silicon anode start-ups - funding
3.1.56. Investors into silicon anode start-ups
3.1.57. Investors into silicon anode start-ups
3.1.58. Investors into silicon anode start-ups
3.1.59. Regional Si-anode activity
3.1.60. Growth in

 

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